Fifa International · resolved market
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in First Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f129bfba6c20151276c918262e756d51950fa09d451b81636d781b3edddf668
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 18c | 3,162$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.53 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a2…3e89backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 112 | 19.6%22 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 10c | 1,845$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.15 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2a…9997backed Yes | 1c | 1,777$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 13c | 1,512$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.59 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 414 | 29%120 W · 294 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e32…4e3ebacked Yes | 18c | 761.89$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.14 | 135 | 27.4%37 W · 98 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 19c | 644.35$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.12 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 3c | 591$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…24cebacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2618…aecfbacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…4a74backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 22.5%39 W · 134 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Yes | 15c | 510$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 249 | 50.2%125 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4606…7f19backed Yes | 67c | 472.8$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.8 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d4…5ee8backed Yes | 18c | 440.44$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.28 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8577…0eb3backed Yes | 23c | 421.74$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 12c | 418.14$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 77c | 413.46$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.1 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 238 | 20.6%49 W · 189 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 10c | 362.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 18c | 361.11$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ef…b630backed No | 22c | 354.44$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.46 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes | 9c | 337$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…57a6backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa622…4448backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 25.7%29 W · 84 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…28dbbacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4186…7513backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes | 14c | 257$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 226 | 23.5%53 W · 173 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfe…6edabacked Yes | 18c | 249.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 12c | 231.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…ab9abacked Yes | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes | 9c | 220$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 373 | 20.9%78 W · 295 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed Yes | 18c | 216.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf76a…71e6backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 195 | 20%39 W · 156 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 12c | 184.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cd…0558backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 18.3%17 W · 76 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…5269backed Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 112 | 19.6%22 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb563…888bbacked Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c75…c91fbacked Yes | 18c | 165.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a4…c659backed Yes | 14c | 157.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4d…c525backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 170 | 20%34 W · 136 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe185…de06backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b20…2f94backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 207 | 29%60 W · 147 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab6b…521bbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Yes | 18c | 85.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2b…53a5backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7683…4cebbacked Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 77c | 47.62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in First Halfthis page
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Switzerland (-3.5)Bosnia-Herzegovina won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 6.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Switzerland O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Switzerland O/U 1.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Switzerland O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.