TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Switzerlandof Bosnia and Herzegovina, Switzerland
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$193,001
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$204,444

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,001 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaf4d…77c6backed Bosnia and Herzegovina2c15,729$249 inLost-$248.747647.4%36 W · 40 L+13.4wins+0.18per pick30cpaid+80.2%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Bosnia and Herzegovina3c11,143$368 inLost-$367.7371638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Bosnia and Herzegovina3c8,857$287 inLost-$287.083,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Bosnia and Herzegovina2c6,869$144 inLost-$144.271,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Bosnia and Herzegovina3c4,489$150 inLost-$150.458,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Bosnia and Herzegovina4c4,300$155 inLost-$154.913235.6%47 W · 85 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed Bosnia and Herzegovina5c4,223$200 inLost-$20022622.1%50 W · 176 L-1.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+48.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina5c4,000$184 inLost-$18425019.6%49 W · 201 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Bosnia and Herzegovina5c2,880$130 inLost-$130.381,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68c1…caf8backed Bosnia and Herzegovina5c2,587$121 inLost-$1214526.7%12 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32b5…61f9backed Bosnia and Herzegovina5c2,176$102 inLost-$101.693514.3%5 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe185…de06backed Bosnia and Herzegovina5c2,000$90 inLost-$904314%6 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina2c1,897$34 inLost-$33.7214612.3%18 W · 128 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina4c1,853$81 inLost-$813067.8%24 W · 282 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-38.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4b1…d21fbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina4c1,196$50 inLost-$50.3617527.4%48 W · 127 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48f…7f39backed Bosnia and Herzegovina4c1,169$52 inLost-$523616.7%6 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Bosnia and Herzegovina3c804.2$22 inLost-$22.372,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cff…15d1backed Bosnia and Herzegovina5c543.48$25 inLost-$2511242.9%48 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina4c500$21 inLost-$2154917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8d4…2ad9backed Bosnia and Herzegovina4c452.49$20 inLost-$20.0313638.2%52 W · 84 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f17…c1dbbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina8c392.56$30 inLost-$302888%23 W · 265 L-1.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Bosnia and Herzegovina4c375.42$15 inLost-$15.022,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x848c…2bf0backed Bosnia and Herzegovina3c343.3$10 inLost-$1022122.2%49 W · 172 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd85…1f63backed Bosnia and Herzegovina5c330.03$15 inLost-$14.8920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Bosnia and Herzegovina4c307.65$11 inLost-$10.771,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e50…0d32backed Bosnia and Herzegovina4c299.99$13 inLost-$12.610934.9%38 W · 71 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.