TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$168,016
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$170,470

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,016 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over5c70,559$3,462 inLost-$3,461.663,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over5c17,437$868 inLost-$868.244,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over4c12,885$538 inLost-$537.942,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over5c5,905$304 inLost-$304.438,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe03…e392backed Over6c3,312$189 inLost-$188.641127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick18cpaid+96.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over5c2,631$132 inLost-$131.661,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Over4c2,483$92 inLost-$91.6658530.9%181 W · 404 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over5c2,393$120 inLost-$119.661,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over5c2,000$102 inLost-$10215920.1%32 W · 127 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2666…ade6backed Over6c1,701$95 inLost-$95.236346%29 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89d2…7a0cbacked Over6c1,337$80 inLost-$80.235722.8%13 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick18cpaid+33.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Over5c1,179$59 inLost-$58.9378317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Over4c1,164$43 inLost-$43.317122.5%16 W · 55 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick14cpaid+40.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over6c833.33$50 inLost-$5032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over4c556.52$25 inLost-$2545120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x372e…4453backed Over5c500$27 inLost-$2714829.1%43 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over5c500$25 inLost-$2595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked Over3c397$12 inLost-$11.6945627.9%127 W · 329 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed Over6c350.88$20 inLost-$202114.3%3 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-48.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over5c322.98$15 inLost-$1543819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea3f…1422backed Over6c250$15 inLost-$159428.7%27 W · 67 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7de2…cd3fbacked Over5c247.43$13 inLost-$13.1620733.3%69 W · 138 L-11.6wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…813dbacked Over7c227.12$17 inLost-$16.5850%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.