Fifa International · resolved market
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79b2c5f3bbbc9588cbf9b4b7b00a1207a142be97ae2c9a813d08e5370a87f6da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,774
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,774 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2dba…1d6cbacked Over | 59c | 4,435$2,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,613.75 | 115 | 61.7%71 W · 44 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…1579backed Over | 58c | 2,950$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.99 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 1,878$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.32 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 42c | 1,672$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.11 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4608…d049backed Over | 57c | 1,594$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.57 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +9.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 58c | 900.63$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.3 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 42c | 617$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.86 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…83aabacked Over | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459a…bf86backed Over | 58c | 496.02$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.69 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Under | 42c | 350$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 42c | 342.66$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.65 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 42c | 286.37$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.1 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…2bf0backed Over | 58c | 259.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.23 | 221 | 22.2%49 W · 172 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 43c | 239.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.7 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Under | 42c | 239.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.19 | 450 | 38.2%172 W · 278 L | -28.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 42c | 214.7$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.15 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd00a…8126backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 42c | 171.47$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.45 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 42c | 147.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.56 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Under | 43c | 98.84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.34 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa576…dfefbacked Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8582…959fbacked Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2842…e81bbacked Over | 58c | 55.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…fc63backed Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…10d5backed Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 42c | 49.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 58c | 47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 42c | 41.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…656abacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x648e…e2fabacked Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…80b2backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 147 | 39.5%58 W · 89 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 56c | 27.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 198 | 62.1%123 W · 75 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Under | 42c | 25.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 365 | 58.4%213 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…fc6dbacked Under | 70c | 23.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +14.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a0…ae08backed Over | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…9669backed Over | 58c | 18.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Switzerland (-3.5)Bosnia-Herzegovina won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 6.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Switzerland O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Switzerland O/U 1.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Switzerland O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.