Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8de98edaa16945aedccecce9863ec56a42eca5fd6d909717ffa1a3111521133
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $743,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $949,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $743,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 475 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 65c | 181,642$117,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,186.09 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 37c | 59,461$22,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,162.01 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 35c | 55,815$19,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,535.3 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 62c | 35,504$22,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,338.37 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 37c | 28,232$10,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,504.16 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 24c | 27,531$6,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,565.68 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked No | 35c | 21,727$7,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,604.28 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 63c | 15,521$9,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,742.63 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 36c | 15,500$5,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,580 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Yes | 64c | 14,679$9,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,284.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 36c | 13,971$4,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,969.77 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 36c | 10,203$3,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,692.85 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…b809backed No | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…06d9backed No | 35c | 9,920$3,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,472 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 37c | 8,699$3,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,190.13 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 36c | 8,011$2,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,884.08 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 17c | 7,615$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.03 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0327…1390backed Yes | 62c | 7,183$4,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,729.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc532…3b9dbacked No | 37c | 7,180$2,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,656.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x178d…43fcbacked No | 38c | 6,500$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked No | 38c | 6,175$2,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,346.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…da98backed No | 15c | 6,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 37c | 6,000$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.84 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed No | 35c | 5,580$1,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 11c | 4,832$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.7 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 62c | 4,788$2,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.55 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 39c | 3,854$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.9 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Yes | 60c | 3,600$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 36c | 3,139$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.5 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 62c | 3,088$1,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.77 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a0…dc24backed No | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0524…9dcebacked Yes | 62c | 2,932$1,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 38c | 2,884$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.84 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked No | 1c | 2,868$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 36c | 2,777$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.72 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Yes | 79c | 2,751$2,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.07 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 1c | 2,706$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 9c | 2,637$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.45 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa18…9869backed No | 4c | 2,451$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 63c | 2,274$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.48 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 13c | 2,192$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.31 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 36c | 2,075$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.35 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 43c | 2,040$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.26 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Yes | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.99 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed No | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No | 41c | 1,983$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 37c | 1,703$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.93 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed No | 35c | 1,690$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046b…340dbacked Yes | 63c | 1,650$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.51 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefc3…c40fbacked Yes | 62c | 1,578$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Yes | 62c | 1,567$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 17c | 1,482$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.86 | 123 | 36.6%45 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 55c | 1,399$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.49 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…68f0backed Yes | 62c | 1,382$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 36c | 1,272$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.95 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0a…e440backed Yes | 62c | 1,234$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4499…8bdbbacked No | 2c | 1,226$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 19c | 1,142$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.63 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 35c | 1,131$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.85 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…3fe8backed No | 38c | 1,127$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.26 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 10c | 1,106$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.37 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 36c | 1,084$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.37 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 36c | 1,017$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.03 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Yes | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed Yes | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed Yes | 63c | 992.15$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…36a7backed Yes | 63c | 929.31$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 38c | 859.85$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.78 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 25c | 817.2$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.01 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8118…fab4backed Yes | 63c | 812.54$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Yes | 62c | 788.06$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.46 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e3…47acbacked Yes | 63c | 713.95$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa56f…ee5fbacked Yes | 64c | 706.28$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 18c | 695.77$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.48 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 62c | 682.04$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.17 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x723a…583fbacked No | 2c | 678.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked No | 7c | 678.62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0462…b6e6backed Yes | 78c | 657.92$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Yes | 60c | 655.32$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 37c | 654.98$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.34 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…fa11backed Yes | 62c | 643.89$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Yes | 62c | 630.45$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4791…07f8backed Yes | 62c | 630.45$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.57 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…6b32backed Yes | 63c | 620.83$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.71 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Yes | 63c | 597.89$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.22 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked No | 26c | 584$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 62c | 549.39$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.31 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…0b69backed Yes | 63c | 545.7$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.53 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf61…4d44backed Yes | 64c | 535.06$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.62 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 38c | 499.96$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.48 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked No | 37c | 499.95$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ba…cf54backed Yes | 62c | 472.84$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Yes | 62c | 472.84$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 70c | 468.22$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.78 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6711…1485backed Yes | 62c | 465.97$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…f940backed Yes | 65c | 452.05$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-16?this page
- Will Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?No won
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.