Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ec8b8288409eb9328eb07ed977a7990babd0f08c1f854622a065562b248af2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $152,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Yes | 16c | 30,387$4,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,861.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Yes | 0c | 7,610$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Yes | 16c | 5,761$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.82 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…95e3backed Yes | 17c | 5,640$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed Yes | 16c | 5,113$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…3d19backed Yes | 0c | 3,956$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…165cbacked Yes | 11c | 3,813$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.52 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212a…dbe8backed Yes | 2c | 2,576$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +191%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed Yes | 15c | 2,018$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.72 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 16c | 1,929$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.58 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 13c | 1,503$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.21 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…64ccbacked Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9b…7a04backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd25e…f458backed Yes | 15c | 949$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked Yes | 16c | 890.25$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +123.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…21adbacked Yes | 16c | 779.62$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1468…2ca9backed Yes | 16c | 687.97$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.08 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5424…b09bbacked Yes | 16c | 593.5$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 29cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7efb…add5backed Yes | 16c | 593.5$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d15…e9debacked Yes | 16c | 487.14$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 17c | 475.1$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.77 | 81 | 17.3%14 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes | 16c | 474.8$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.97 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…a8adbacked Yes | 5c | 364.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 16c | 353.79$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes | 15c | 314.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 16c | 302.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd141…5e5fbacked Yes | 16c | 284.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 22cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce53…834bbacked Yes | 17c | 268.35$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 16c | 240.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes | 14c | 219.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…0fe5backed Yes | 16c | 218.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8979…3e4abacked Yes | 16c | 201.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -75%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 16c | 178.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 8c | 159.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 15c | 124.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Yes | 15c | 123.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7356…0b03backed Yes | 16c | 118.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaaa…1d0ebacked Yes | 16c | 118.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbb…f77cbacked Yes | 16c | 118.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcd…f84fbacked Yes | 16c | 118.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…a6efbacked Yes | 16c | 117.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fe…627fbacked Yes | 17c | 111.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes | 17c | 100.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…6f38backed Yes | 19c | 100.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +32%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed Yes | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 21c | 95.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed Yes | 16c | 94.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Yes | 16c | 94.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Yes | 15c | 94.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e30…5629backed Yes | 15c | 94.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…68f1backed Yes | 16c | 89.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 17c | 81.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 17c | 78.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Yes | 17c | 78.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31bf…f08dbacked Yes | 15c | 68.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 73c | 18.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-16?this page
- Will Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?No won
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.