TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x66fa…048d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
44
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 58 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.28
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$21.27
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$41.73
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$28.19
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$44.78
Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9
France vs. Senegal: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.75
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$12.91
United States vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.32
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$32.81
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$9.27
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$15.75
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.4
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.94
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$25.26
All 10 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+100%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+75.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto vs. CD Santa Clara end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.