Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. Senegal: O/U 7.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x492cf9d777469c2aba34cba4a79b86deffe03021a1ccc0b9b0b3f4dae15bae46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,603
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,603 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 75c | 1,569$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.08 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 25c | 1,291$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.76 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 6c | 1,248$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.35 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 26c | 1,083$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.65 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 25c | 1,074$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.3 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 75c | 906$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.57 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 25c | 706.89$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.92 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72e2…6610backed Over | 75c | 333.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e7…3925backed Over | 72c | 316.67$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad6…34c6backed Under | 15c | 299.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c8…6e5cbacked Over | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 26c | 266.56$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1f…08a6backed Under | 24c | 259.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 252 | 21.4%54 W · 198 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…bebdbacked Over | 76c | 231.86$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dd…f050backed Over | 74c | 162.16$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…b81bbacked Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 34 | 88.2%30 W · 4 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 70cpaid | +31%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 76c | 130$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Over | 78c | 128.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…0c75backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 160 | 42.5%68 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 76c | 119.72$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 403 | 55.3%223 W · 180 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 20c | 119.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2722…ecbfbacked Over | 76c | 105.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 24c | 104.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…c24ebacked Over | 75c | 99.46$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 131 | 25.2%33 W · 98 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 18c | 94.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Over | 76c | 85.38$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa261…061cbacked Under | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fa…048dbacked Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Over | 74c | 65.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f4…3fdbbacked Under | 18c | 61.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.26per pick | 44cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9b…2d24backed Over | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed Over | 76c | 47.37$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed Under | 23c | 46.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 396 | 48.7%193 W · 203 L | -23.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba33…4dddbacked Over | 75c | 31.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8146…fe66backed Under | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a35…5484backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Over | 77c | 24.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5939…73e7backed Over | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca0…a4fcbacked Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Over | 75c | 17.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…5cfdbacked Over | 72c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 150 | 62.7%94 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1c…aa0abacked Over | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersthis page
- France vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: France O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: France O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: France O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Senegal: France O/U 7.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Senegal: Team to Take First CornerSenegal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.