TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 2.5 Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,422
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,703

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,422 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4be2…4c5bbacked Under1c1,336$11 inLost-$113941%16 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09c4…2378backed Under41c1,141$468 inLost-$467.811156.8%63 W · 48 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over59c627.12$370 inWon+$257.127761%47 W · 30 L+8.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+30.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb7d8…a577backed Over59c248.64$147 inWon+$101.9412753.5%68 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2770…290bbacked Over75c201.33$150 inWon+$51.3311251.8%58 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Over59c167.02$99 inWon+$68.4819250%96 W · 96 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over66c124.99$82 inWon+$42.59467%63 W · 31 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under34c124.99$42 inLost-$42.51,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Under25c105.24$26 inLost-$26.3133555.5%186 W · 149 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf647…0ccbbacked Under26c100$26 inLost-$2613061.5%80 W · 50 L+11.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+100.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe80f…b81bbacked Over74c67.57$50 inWon+$17.573488.2%30 W · 4 L+6.3wins+0.18per pick70cpaid+31%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2ca8…7e67backed Under26c67.57$18 inLost-$17.5717737.9%67 W · 110 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42ce…af44backed Over59c33.9$20 inWon+$13.94973.5%36 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x74d3…23f2backed Over59c25.42$15 inWon+$10.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ba…9fbcbacked Over59c25$15 inWon+$10.25683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick59cpaid+37.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under42c24.14$10 inLost-$10.142,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.