Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 3.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74c3cf290ce36b62d4c641ad209b4cfc78557f089f1467bb38bc7184a037b644
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6787…ff88backed Over | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over | 72c | 776$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.99 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 33c | 748.94$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.15 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 27c | 680.65$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.39 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 45c | 659$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.79 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Under | 52c | 516.24$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.61 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 57c | 450$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.54 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…6e17backed Over | 79c | 425$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.75 | 213 | 62%132 W · 81 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Over | 48c | 325.04$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.02 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 25c | 307.79$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.29 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0abb…d188backed Under | 58c | 301.9$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 54c | 299.98$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.99 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 55c | 238.78$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.46 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 55c | 226.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.85 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 47c | 226.69$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.21 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 55c | 226.05$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.33 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 61c | 220.36$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.94 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be2…4c5bbacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 27c | 201.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.49 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 73c | 191.02$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.53 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 58c | 167.38$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.08 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 50c | 163.49$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.42 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Over | 62c | 160$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.65 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 39c | 126.74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 48c | 118.36$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.31 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Under | 57c | 115$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…e5d8backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 231 | 42.4%98 W · 133 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 53c | 94.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed Under | 39c | 93.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 43c | 90$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 218 | 40.8%89 W · 129 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…9076backed Over | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Over | 73c | 77.76$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 166 | 55.4%92 W · 74 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe08d…60e7backed Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Over | 76c | 50.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 275 | 54.5%150 W · 125 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 43c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1853…6c81backed Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Over | 58c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 44c | 30.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf37d…a88bbacked Over | 69c | 29.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7274…5040backed Over | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 54c | 19.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b81…b68bbacked Over | 69c | 15.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 3.5 Cornersthis page
- France vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: France O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: France O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: France O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Senegal: France O/U 7.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Senegal: Team to Take First CornerSenegal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.