Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d4743e9750ab642bac8e73d3d124f6815654d532a4dc745736cc1633813ea7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,229
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,229 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fc3…b676backed Over | 51c | 1,971$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.59 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…695bbacked Over | 64c | 1,693$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.61 | 116 | 65.5%76 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 46c | 1,061$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.17 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea7…7fc0backed Under | 49c | 985.61$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.95 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 47c | 856.29$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.9 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 49c | 818.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.11 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 54c | 738.73$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.82 | 469 | 39.4%185 W · 284 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Under | 50c | 580$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1326…fdffbacked Over | 52c | 577.4$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.4 | 189 | 36%68 W · 121 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…ee15backed Under | 50c | 489.8$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under | 48c | 352.4$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.15 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 306.92$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.9 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d59…31dcbacked Under | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 49c | 271$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.31 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 49c | 271$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.31 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Over | 54c | 260.79$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.96 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +122.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…c865backed Under | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 53c | 228.33$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.19 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 40c | 209.67$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.8 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Over | 53c | 208.58$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.03 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…ea34backed Over | 53c | 207.55$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.55 | 222 | 42.3%94 W · 128 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6f…1765backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 46c | 198$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.98 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Over | 54c | 193$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.78 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…9136backed Over | 53c | 183.02$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.02 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4272…4a17backed Over | 51c | 172.08$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.9 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 49c | 162.01$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.91 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Over | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked Under | 49c | 131.41$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.39 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 180 | 40%72 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…51d2backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb24…d79fbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…6ba1backed Over | 53c | 77.36$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 40c | 62.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 374 | 58.8%220 W · 154 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Under | 46c | 59.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…6c0cbacked Under | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x708e…d03fbacked Over | 50c | 47.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Over | 77c | 39.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 46c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e5…77f1backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersthis page
- France vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: France O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: France O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: France O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Senegal: France O/U 7.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Senegal: Team to Take First CornerSenegal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.