Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. Senegal: O/U 12.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x388aebd4d50c6c99067969f6a1d2b30105a4f717b9d023210329e3732b591b6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 77c | 886.55$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.37 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 23c | 767.28$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.78 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2393…d54dbacked Over | 21c | 463.19$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.27 | 176 | 25%44 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed Under | 80c | 428.55$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 20c | 428.55$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.71 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 77c | 332.52$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.52 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Over | 22c | 320.51$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.51 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 77c | 281.96$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.85 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 78c | 269.98$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Over | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…069ebacked Over | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 143 | 23.1%33 W · 110 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1326…fdffbacked Over | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 189 | 36%68 W · 121 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 25c | 201.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 188 | 22.3%42 W · 146 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 75c | 191$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.75 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed Under | 77c | 162.25$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed Over | 22c | 136.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 189 | 11.1%21 W · 168 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16e7…3925backed Over | 18c | 119.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa231…57e1backed Over | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…449cbacked Under | 77c | 99.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b4…7c3fbacked Over | 33c | 72.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 78c | 13.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.9 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersthis page
- France vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: France O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: France O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: France O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Senegal: France O/U 7.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Senegal: Team to Take First CornerSenegal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.