Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. Senegal: France O/U 6.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe29c446492d3647952007cd2c1a2c7b48196ff70f9742453f3c5ca5a7936de89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,030
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,030 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Under | 54c | 1,132$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.99 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 47c | 708.2$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.11 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…2378backed Over | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under | 52c | 515$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.2 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33ea…8b78backed Over | 47c | 428.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked Under | 54c | 417.8$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.19 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked Over | 45c | 220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 55c | 220$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Under | 54c | 182.2$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.81 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…521fbacked Over | 46c | 171.74$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Over | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9da3…6f0cbacked Over | 48c | 102.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Under | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 60c | 60.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 374 | 58.8%220 W · 154 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b91…fb9dbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe08d…60e7backed Over | 57c | 52.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035f…8e20backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…49d0backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332c…ae23backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 54c | 35.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac7…4b3ebacked Over | 46c | 32.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a76…e39ebacked Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 54c | 28.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6efd…ccb0backed Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…80b2backed Over | 50c | 22.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 147 | 39.5%58 W · 89 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. Senegal: France O/U 6.5 Cornersthis page
- France vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: France O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: France O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: France O/U 7.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Senegal: Team to Take First CornerSenegal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.