Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd784cd6d156bcf4489258bb056560fe08897ab6617924e6b1a917bc324b4d601
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 46c | 2,145$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.61 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 44c | 1,008$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.59 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 56c | 954.65$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.06 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 46c | 707.3$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.99 | 227 | 31.7%72 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0abc…5a5cbacked Yes | 54c | 537.04$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.04 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes | 54c | 453.7$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.7 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 54c | 440.12$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.46 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 54c | 308.65$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.96 | 315 | 54.6%172 W · 143 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Yes | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 47c | 265.73$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a3…3b73backed No | 41c | 217.78$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Yes | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…a2cebacked Yes | 52c | 199.94$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.97 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e3…3792backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed No | 47c | 164.69$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.04 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 147.77$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.21 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…0ebbbacked Yes | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 46c | 142.1$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.02 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 54c | 121.17$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x358c…7042backed Yes | 54c | 112.2$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.61 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 54c | 105.04$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 225 | 43.1%97 W · 128 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 48c | 90.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 48c | 79.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…b8edbacked Yes | 55c | 72.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0278…9c8dbacked No | 48c | 69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21c…3fd3backed No | 50c | 63.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Yes | 80c | 59.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee5f…5468backed Yes | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed No | 49c | 59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 311 | 47.9%149 W · 162 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2897…0004backed Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82f…aba0backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9f…f8ddbacked Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 51c | 45.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 228 | 46.5%106 W · 122 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Yes | 49c | 42.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed No | 48c | 41.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfce3…c36cbacked Yes | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 46c | 38.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ef…dda9backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7053…25e4backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8866…a584backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 158 | 53.2%84 W · 74 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6328…1bf3backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 48c | 33.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed No | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 46c | 29.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…8525backed Yes | 55c | 27.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…4094backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 198 | 59.6%118 W · 80 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ac…e602backed No | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed No | 47c | 25.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fa…048dbacked Yes | 59c | 25.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52dd…6f82backed Yes | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d44…9f3bbacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 77 | 64.9%50 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Senegal (-2.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-1.5)Senegal won
- Spread: United States (-2.5)Senegal won
- United States vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Over won
- United States vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5Over won
- United States vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5Over won
- United States vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.