United States vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf00867f0ce228310ca4e9700d09b79ef79fc6ae6b662fc8f17bc865487c4107

Rebuilt 2 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $25,663
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $29,953

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,663 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over	47c	4,254$1,986 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,267.78	592	30.1%178 W · 414 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over	50c	4,018$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,018.23	135	44.4%60 W · 75 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,019.99	105	39%41 W · 64 L	+5.0wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Under	51c	1,780$913 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$912.59	63	49.2%31 W · 32 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	52c	1,563$815 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$814.71	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Over	71c	1,405$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$405.36	109	49.5%54 W · 55 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	52c	1,350$706 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$705.65	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over	50c	1,028$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$518	454	28%127 W · 327 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	48c	969.99$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$463.17	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over	48c	762.12$369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$393.15	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over	49c	732.73$359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$373.71	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a58…1497backed Under	54c	692.59$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-3.1wins	-0.14per pick	42cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	49c	659.57$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.19	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under	16c	622.69$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.01	227	31.7%72 W · 155 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	52c	607.64$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.1	848	44.3%376 W · 472 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	46c	577.18$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$313.77	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under	51c	567.51$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.43	239	49.4%118 W · 121 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over	49c	473$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$241.97	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under	18c	450.01$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.06	855	50.6%433 W · 422 L	+54.8wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc45a…1565backed Under	18c	449.96$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.99	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.3wins	-0.21per pick	39cpaid	-74.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	53c	404.98$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.34	1,616	51.2%827 W · 789 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa31a…d023backed Over	44c	389.93$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.36	47	27.7%13 W · 34 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Under	4c	375$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Under	20c	371.68$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.28	112	38.4%43 W · 69 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-22%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	45c	362.31$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.27	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	51c	351.35$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.92	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdca1…fb09backed Under	11c	342.09$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.63	66	24.2%16 W · 50 L	+7.5wins	+0.11per pick	13cpaid	+92.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	52c	317.64$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.33	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under	51c	266$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.66	281	62.6%176 W · 105 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over	45c	218.02$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.96	132	53%70 W · 62 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	246	49.2%121 W · 125 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Under	44c	194.35$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.36	444	35.4%157 W · 287 L	-11.7wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d0…a970backed Over	78c	187.9$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.73	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+57.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Under	55c	180.97$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	479	35.1%168 W · 311 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under	51c	169.65$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.52	1,204	48.9%589 W · 615 L	+18.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	16c	165.17$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.82	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9522…7af0backed Under	50c	160$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-2.8wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Under	16c	158.88$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.82	88	17%15 W · 73 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Under	58c	146.98$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	68	45.6%31 W · 37 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over	51c	145.99$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.24	384	39.8%153 W · 231 L	+4.9wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked Under	44c	121.46$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.44	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under	50c	119.06$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.45	413	44.1%182 W · 231 L	-16.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3548…0ebbbacked Over	49c	116.33$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.33	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under	53c	105.66$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.76	397	46.3%184 W · 213 L	-28.9wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb82…0675backed Over	47c	105.1$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.22	87	50.6%44 W · 43 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed Over	56c	89.28$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.28	248	40.3%100 W · 148 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcdd…c6bbbacked Under	55c	72.73$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	62	50%31 W · 31 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under	52c	70.03$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.42	1,151	58.5%673 W · 478 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b0c…a1aabacked Over	45c	67.76$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.27	115	44.3%51 W · 64 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd177…1c8abacked Under	52c	65.38$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	83	47%39 W · 44 L	-5.0wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2342…12d6backed Over	49c	61.41$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.32	86	44.2%38 W · 48 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under	54c	60$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.25	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under	51c	59.88$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.54	1,001	53.9%540 W · 461 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Over	44c	56.82$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.82	667	45%300 W · 367 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8a2…86debacked Under	54c	55.56$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a25…4e62backed Under	55c	46$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.3	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over	45c	42.64$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.27	414	51.4%213 W · 201 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	49c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	935	42.2%395 W · 540 L	-27.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed Under	53c	37.73$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	180	53.3%96 W · 84 L	-10.9wins	-0.06per pick	59cpaid	-16%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10e5…b4e9backed Under	55c	36.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	110	46.4%51 W · 59 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Under	54c	34.12$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	235	52.8%124 W · 111 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6859…f7c2backed Over	70c	28.39$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.39	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x871a…7be4backed Under	55c	27.27$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Over	71c	24.94$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.14	190	64.2%122 W · 68 L	+13.2wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over	45c	24.44$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.44	355	49.9%177 W · 178 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Over	49c	23.7$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.09	200	47%94 W · 106 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc51f…891bbacked Under	55c	19.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.9	41	58.5%24 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Over	75c	15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.83	220	52.3%115 W · 105 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

United States vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5this page
Spread: Senegal (-2.5)United States won
Spread: United States (-1.5)Senegal won
Spread: United States (-2.5)Senegal won
United States vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
United States vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5Over won
United States vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5Over won
United States vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

United States vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event