Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebdf0c1f5420479b5b6ee483e4e82c58fec47bd03344bad773e967b311d1d2cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Under | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 233 | 63.5%148 W · 85 L | +19.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Under | 1c | 7,441$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.41 | 389 | 60.7%236 W · 153 L | +24.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 26c | 6,613$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,871.96 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…3c50backed Under | 1c | 4,999$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 74c | 2,730$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.54 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 73c | 2,568$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.92 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 29c | 1,743$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.33 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 1,316$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.5 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 306 | 42.8%131 W · 175 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 72c | 797.76$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.62 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 73c | 675$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.81 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 13c | 623.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.81 | 199 | 46.7%93 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Under | 75c | 600$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 28c | 501$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.76 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f7…b205backed Under | 5c | 499.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 73c | 454$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.42 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 74c | 408.05$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.96 | 167 | 58.7%98 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 66c | 325.35$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 25c | 195.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.58 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 72c | 173$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.56 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Under | 61c | 163.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 25c | 160$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 257 | 27.2%70 W · 187 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…2954backed Under | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…a596backed Under | 36c | 150.1$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 73c | 132.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Over | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 45c | 116.61$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.81 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 65c | 96.4$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 35c | 93.01$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.41 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 25c | 80.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 78 | 24.4%19 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 44c | 80.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Over | 64c | 76.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 248 | 40.3%100 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac57…85c6backed Under | 47c | 66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…e409backed Under | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 25c | 62.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.68 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 72c | 53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 35c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 227 | 31.7%72 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Under | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7597…e17ebacked Over | 62c | 42.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e7…b1a4backed Over | 52c | 37.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Over | 60c | 36.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 333 | 45.3%151 W · 182 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 73c | 26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 76c | 24.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 72c | 23.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 209 | 68.4%143 W · 66 L | +21.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 74c | 21.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…0030backed Over | 62c | 17.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 69c | 16.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 60c | 16.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked Over | 65c | 15.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Senegal (-2.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-1.5)Senegal won
- Spread: United States (-2.5)Senegal won
- United States vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- United States vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Over won
- United States vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5Over won
- United States vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.