Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c96c83b41559486604b40e2558989b75454bc8527230c91084450deca03c63f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,608
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 5c | 20,653$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.68 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Over | 1c | 8,998$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.23 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…a81bbacked Over | 29c | 1,984$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.37 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 36c | 1,657$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.19 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 64c | 1,567$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.26 | 202 | 62.4%126 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 34c | 1,508$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.6 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 73c | 696.92$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 5c | 615.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 257 | 27.2%70 W · 187 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…3c50backed Over | 70c | 503.66$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.04 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Under | 58c | 463.49$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.46 | 238 | 57.6%137 W · 101 L | +22.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed Under | 9c | 449.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.01 | 257 | 53.3%137 W · 120 L | +23.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…2b66backed Over | 2c | 447.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 290 | 30.7%89 W · 201 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Over | 8c | 393.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 437 | 37.8%165 W · 272 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 3c | 365$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253e…da4bbacked Over | 53c | 358.37$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 34c | 349.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 226 | 39.4%89 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ce…a5bcbacked Over | 69c | 347.7$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf0…72cebacked Under | 36c | 320.8$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.55 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Over | 65c | 306.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 132 | 68.2%90 W · 42 L | +20.0wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xedc1…0145backed Over | 33c | 301.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 38c | 259.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 146 | 12.3%18 W · 128 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Over | 65c | 254.32$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 294 | 63.3%186 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 55c | 249$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.35 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Over | 8c | 209.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Over | 35c | 187.61$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.66 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Over | 27c | 170.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.38 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…f3cebacked Under | 37c | 159.16$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.27 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +6.0wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a09…4a73backed Over | 60c | 159.02$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4206…f874backed Over | 77c | 142.39$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.69 | 82 | 70.7%58 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e2…ffd9backed Over | 62c | 130.65$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Over | 64c | 125.02$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 147 | 66%97 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 52c | 101.95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 190 | 64.2%122 W · 68 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e2…9ecdbacked Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 126 | 36.5%46 W · 80 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee5f…5468backed Under | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 99.36$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d3…f1abbacked Under | 18c | 90$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…bb1dbacked Over | 54c | 88.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…736ebacked Over | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…8ddabacked Over | 74c | 81.37$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…a56fbacked Over | 33c | 75.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc252…0aebbacked Over | 77c | 68.82$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 33c | 39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4b…0da9backed Over | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Over | 59c | 36.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 45c | 30.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 341 | 2.9%10 W · 331 L | -132.4wins | -0.39per pick | 42cpaid | -94%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed Over | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…dfe9backed Under | 41c | 29.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 52c | 28.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 80c | 23.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Senegal (-2.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-1.5)Senegal won
- Spread: United States (-2.5)Senegal won
- United States vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- United States vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Over won
- United States vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5Over won
- United States vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.