Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f507399465d056cf979a938b3b99f342566391c35f4d21354d9f14bc902eac0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 73c | 2,413$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.58 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 28c | 1,435$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.63 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…9971backed Under | 28c | 1,404$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.06 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Under | 26c | 1,029$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Over | 72c | 837.83$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.83 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 23c | 778.23$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.3 | 227 | 31.7%72 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 28c | 292.5$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.96 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e2…9ecdbacked Over | 72c | 280$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 126 | 36.5%46 W · 80 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb534…06a6backed Over | 79c | 262.73$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.87 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed Over | 79c | 252$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 257 | 53.3%137 W · 120 L | +23.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 74c | 237.65$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.79 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 24c | 179.22$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Under | 26c | 166.74$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf064…54a4backed Over | 71c | 149.67$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 78c | 142.27$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 28c | 135.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 75c | 129.21$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 28c | 97.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…6714backed Over | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9906…7d46backed Under | 29c | 82.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 76c | 81.36$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Under | 28c | 69.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 27c | 65.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Over | 79c | 53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d1…82b1backed Over | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 28c | 35.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 631 | 52.9%334 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 370 | 57.3%212 W · 158 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf535…4103backed Over | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe32…0300backed Over | 73c | 19.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…5e20backed Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Senegal (-2.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-1.5)Senegal won
- Spread: United States (-2.5)Senegal won
- United States vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- United States vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Over won
- United States vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5Over won
- United States vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5Over won
- United States vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.