TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,212
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,406

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,212 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x99d7…6435backed Under18c3,057$550 inLost-$550.3285851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under1c3,039$30 inLost-$30.0624533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Under21c2,909$611 inLost-$610.9816759.9%100 W · 67 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under18c861.1$155 inLost-$155.074,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over80c750.48$599 inWon+$151.092,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under10c600.59$59 inLost-$59.414,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd722…0564backed Under19c531.58$101 inLost-$10119436.6%71 W · 123 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under18c517.12$92 inLost-$91.813,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8815…438dbacked Under19c500$95 inLost-$951233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Under16c367.95$59 inLost-$58.5534924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under13c355.55$47 inLost-$47.132,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under18c334.35$59 inLost-$58.893,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under17c322.84$56 inLost-$56.011,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d35…bd2cbacked Over80c312.5$250 inWon+$62.53969.2%27 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaffc…cddcbacked Under20c300$60 inLost-$606937.7%26 W · 43 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x45c7…a35dbacked Under12c270.78$31 inLost-$31.197622.4%17 W · 59 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-37.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under21c251.26$53 inLost-$52.7640736.6%149 W · 258 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under20c224$44 inLost-$44.083,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66fa…048dbacked Over80c223.88$179 inWon+$44.782142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under18c197.3$35 inLost-$35.272,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under16c184.73$29 inLost-$29.421,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x911d…3886backed Under19c157.89$30 inLost-$3011526.1%30 W · 85 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under20c122.28$25 inLost-$25.032,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under18c100$18 inLost-$1846743.3%202 W · 265 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8a9…2948backed Under17c99.99$17 inLost-$1726042.3%110 W · 150 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under19c99.97$19 inLost-$18.9948147.8%230 W · 251 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10e5…b7aabacked Under23c92.12$21 inLost-$21.191241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under20c79.14$16 inLost-$15.551,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b8…2d31backed Under21c71.43$15 inLost-$157350.7%37 W · 36 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa882…e517backed Over79c63.29$50 inWon+$13.2916442.1%69 W · 95 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under19c62.66$12 inLost-$11.961,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Over79c56.51$45 inWon+$11.981,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Over79c50$40 inWon+$10.586656.4%488 W · 378 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa176…c169backed Over80c12.5$10 inWon+$2.5333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-58.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.