Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 5.5 Corners

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f42e4b1a560da46245a9de7152d0e82ce963dbc2aaf6f9d1f6bee0cc26605bf

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $45,949
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $47,229

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,949 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf438…9559backed Over	49c	27,594$13,591 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,002.95	144	49.3%71 W · 73 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Over	47c	6,563$3,089 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,474.75	67	58.2%39 W · 28 L	+6.7wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under	51c	6,000$3,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,060	343	57.7%198 W · 145 L	+26.2wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x98ce…d417backed Under	54c	4,457$2,389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,389	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+13%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Under	50c	3,627$1,823 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,823.42	296	33.4%99 W · 197 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Under	51c	2,727$1,391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,390.61	291	54%157 W · 134 L	+21.1wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Under	53c	2,705$1,433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,433.43	249	50.2%125 W · 124 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b97…0efebacked Under	49c	2,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf17a…fa3abacked Under	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	162	60.5%98 W · 64 L	+22.3wins	+0.14per pick	47cpaid	+29%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1cc2…5003backed Under	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-3.5wins	-0.19per pick	42cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed Under	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	191	48.2%92 W · 99 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under	51c	1,735$885 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$884.73	617	50.6%312 W · 305 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Under	51c	1,373$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	97	41.2%40 W · 57 L	-5.3wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	49c	1,229$602 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$626.79	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Under	50c	999.99$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.11	331	54.4%180 W · 151 L	+25.9wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under	51c	980.39$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	765	51.6%395 W · 370 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00da…d262backed Under	51c	941.18$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	80	45%36 W · 44 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f4…7763backed Over	54c	925.93$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$425.93	107	49.5%53 W · 54 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under	51c	921.57$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470	55	38.2%21 W · 34 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Under	51c	784.31$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	102	60.8%62 W · 40 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under	51c	750$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.5	232	51.7%120 W · 112 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd679…91a0backed Under	50c	641.37$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.99	69	52.2%36 W · 33 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under	51c	573.42$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.44	362	50%181 W · 181 L	+7.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Over	39c	545.64$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$332.84	261	55.2%144 W · 117 L	+13.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Under	51c	500$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255	320	44.1%141 W · 179 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98f3…3ca0backed Under	51c	492.16$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1582…e47ebacked Over	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	60	46.7%28 W · 32 L	+4.8wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under	46c	400$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184	1,206	50.2%606 W · 600 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabe6…4797backed Under	47c	399.99$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Over	49c	250$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.5	253	52.6%133 W · 120 L	+12.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Under	51c	250$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.5	320	42.2%135 W · 185 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Under	51c	250$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.5	302	41.4%125 W · 177 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7244…2aafbacked Under	50c	250$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	51c	250$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.45	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	51c	250$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.45	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9df3…ddfcbacked Over	50c	220$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	228	51.8%118 W · 110 L	+9.5wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over	46c	203.06$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.65	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under	57c	202.19$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.07	1,475	44.9%663 W · 812 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9dff…7fecbacked Under	51c	194.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	139	56.8%79 W · 60 L	+9.8wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcdf…d36bbacked Over	53c	188.68$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.68	42	61.9%26 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Over	49c	180.61$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.61	624	52.7%329 W · 295 L	+10.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under	47c	178$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.66	379	59.1%224 W · 155 L	+20.5wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under	51c	150$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.5	572	52.4%300 W · 272 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	50c	142.6$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.91	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over	46c	134.9$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.5	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed Over	53c	132.62$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.33	463	19.9%92 W · 371 L	-8.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Under	51c	120$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.72	377	47.7%180 W · 197 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	51c	100.1$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.78	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	55	29.1%16 W · 39 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	481	47.8%230 W · 251 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed Under	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	156	55.8%87 W · 69 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked Over	41c	91.41$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.32	434	60.4%262 W · 172 L	+33.5wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf96b…9c4cbacked Over	40c	77.19$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.31	205	53.7%110 W · 95 L	+21.6wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+25%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under	49c	70$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.3	1,293	53.6%693 W · 600 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ca2…80b0backed Under	25c	70$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+2.4wins	+0.20per pick	30cpaid	+60.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf875…814dbacked Over	75c	66.97$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.97	89	44.9%40 W · 49 L	-8.5wins	-0.10per pick	55cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x518a…71b3backed Over	44c	63.55$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.59	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under	53c	61.64$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.37	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Under	51c	61.22$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.22	381	55.4%211 W · 170 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under	55c	59.34$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.84	660	56.8%375 W · 285 L	+34.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Over	46c	50$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	866	56.4%488 W · 378 L	-13.8wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Over	46c	50$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	1,151	58.5%673 W · 478 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	56c	50$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.25	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2930…e9febacked Under	60c	40$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	41	39%16 W · 25 L	-3.5wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	50c	38.28$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.14	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e62…79f1backed Under	46c	36.49$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.85	264	49.2%130 W · 134 L	+10.2wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Under	52c	28.85$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	37	78.4%29 W · 8 L	+9.5wins	+0.26per pick	53cpaid	+53.6%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	52c	27.26$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.11	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	47c	25.47$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.97	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Over	74c	24.23$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.3	138	50.7%70 W · 68 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa146…6163backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	288	50.3%145 W · 143 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf647…0ccbbacked Over	75c	17.31$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.33	130	61.5%80 W · 50 L	+11.1wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+100.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 5.5 Cornersthis page
Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 12.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Take First CornerPortugal won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 5.5 Corners

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event