Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 3.5 Corners

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x585b8833eb2fc685e619caeed1257783e4fe7164d0ffaeaff2453d6758267d9f

Rebuilt 10 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $28,252
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $28,529

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,252 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	48c	8,101$3,926 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,175.39	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	40c	4,231$1,674 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,556.9	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under	51c	3,178$1,621 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,620.66	343	57.7%198 W · 145 L	+26.2wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over	48c	2,708$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,408.33	97	41.2%40 W · 57 L	-5.3wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over	43c	2,485$1,075 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,410.1	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	57c	2,231$1,282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,281.85	1,559	52.4%817 W · 742 L	+97.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed Under	52c	2,000$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,040	191	48.2%92 W · 99 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cc2…5003backed Under	52c	2,000$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,039.97	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-3.5wins	-0.19per pick	42cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Under	52c	1,500$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780	335	55.5%186 W · 149 L	+19.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under	62c	1,071$667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$667.19	518	59.8%310 W · 208 L	+26.7wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67a5…3516backed Over	48c	1,042$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$541.67	224	41.5%93 W · 131 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b97…0efebacked Under	53c	900$477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$477	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bcf…c767backed Over	43c	687.72$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$392	115	52.2%60 W · 55 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	52c	650.99$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.52	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Under	60c	646$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.44	770	51.3%395 W · 375 L	+29.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Over	47c	599.78$282 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$317.88	399	51.6%206 W · 193 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under	51c	549.99$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.5	206	38.8%80 W · 126 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under	59c	545.75$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.54	637	45.4%289 W · 348 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under	65c	489.61$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.45	791	49.2%389 W · 402 L	+28.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Under	58c	444$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.4	415	51.8%215 W · 200 L	+21.6wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	47c	428.87$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.88	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabe6…4797backed Under	52c	400$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under	57c	373.68$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.09	1,475	44.9%663 W · 812 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under	52c	333$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.16	1,702	36.7%625 W · 1,077 L	-31.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	57c	327.45$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.08	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Under	51c	250$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.5	253	52.6%133 W · 120 L	+12.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Over	48c	250$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130	302	41.4%125 W · 177 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under	52c	231.15$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.28	465	50.3%234 W · 231 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Under	57c	222.25$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.62	331	54.4%180 W · 151 L	+25.9wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked Under	36c	213.58$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.31	174	48.9%85 W · 89 L	+9.5wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb31b…b140backed Under	53c	208.33$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.47	222	43.7%97 W · 125 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9516…0bcbbacked Over	48c	208.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.33	562	40.6%228 W · 334 L	-11.6wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb4c…f815backed Under	51c	208.33$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.25	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	+2.3wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under	72c	206.12$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148	374	58.8%220 W · 154 L	+18.9wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	46c	195$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.3	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Under	52c	187.57$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.54	320	42.2%135 W · 185 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dff…7fecbacked Under	53c	184.38$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.72	139	56.8%79 W · 60 L	+9.8wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Over	48c	163.35$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.94	320	44.1%141 W · 179 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Under	61c	161$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.01	373	52.5%196 W · 177 L	+16.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb116…c4e1backed Over	48c	156.25$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.25	149	53%79 W · 70 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa270…ecadbacked Over	13c	149.98$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.98	282	51.4%145 W · 137 L	+10.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under	53c	147.49$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.17	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	53c	133$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.51	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Under	52c	132.85$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.08	455	48.6%221 W · 234 L	+10.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under	64c	118.4$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.87	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Under	68c	110.3$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.17	480	55.2%265 W · 215 L	+12.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcecf…78b2backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	+5.7wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x778c…061abacked Over	21c	99.99$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79	82	43.9%36 W · 46 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Under	52c	96$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.92	345	51.9%179 W · 166 L	+17.8wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over	37c	94.21$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.22	1,019	31.6%322 W · 697 L	-10.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under	56c	90.06$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	660	56.8%375 W · 285 L	+34.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37ec…2032backed Under	53c	71.7$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	281	49.8%140 W · 141 L	+19.8wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Under	53c	70.72$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.48	377	47.7%180 W · 197 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under	62c	69.98$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.09	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bbf…49c1backed Under	51c	66.7$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.11	224	52.7%118 W · 106 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	69c	65.73$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.58	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under	52c	65$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.8	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	54c	62.64$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.83	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e79…9076backed Over	48c	62.5$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.5	413	39%161 W · 252 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1617…d790backed Under	53c	60.38$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	248	43.1%107 W · 141 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa42f…625dbacked Under	53c	57.57$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.51	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Under	62c	55.81$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.77	177	60.5%107 W · 70 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	64c	53.81$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.33	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Over	38c	50$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31	138	50.7%70 W · 68 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	54c	49.99$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.99	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2abe…6e2dbacked Under	63c	42.82$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.89	72	54.2%39 W · 33 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…7f72backed Under	57c	42.24$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.21	137	45.3%62 W · 75 L	-14.9wins	-0.11per pick	56cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa146…6163backed Over	48c	41.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.67	288	50.3%145 W · 143 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b0e…4a25backed Over	48c	41.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.67	64	57.8%37 W · 27 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bf2…698bbacked Over	48c	41.44$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.55	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97fe…2c4cbacked Over	47c	39.99$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.11	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Under	63c	31.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	318	53.1%169 W · 149 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e62…79f1backed Under	49c	31.35$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.36	264	49.2%130 W · 134 L	+10.2wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45a2…7835backed Over	59c	25.46$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.46	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Over	46c	25.37$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.71	423	36.9%156 W · 267 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Under	73c	25$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.24	149	55%82 W · 67 L	+13.9wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under	54c	25$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	866	56.4%488 W · 378 L	-13.8wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48a7…6e42backed Over	48c	25$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.89	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-3.9wins	-0.36per pick	45cpaid	-81.2%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under	54c	25$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	1,151	58.5%673 W · 478 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4787…db20backed Under	62c	21.3$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.15	197	54.3%107 W · 90 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under	53c	20.75$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	1,293	53.6%693 W · 600 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80fc…d9ecbacked Under	52c	19.98$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.39	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	-2.7wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over	74c	15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.85	233	63.5%148 W · 85 L	+19.8wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 3.5 Cornersthis page
Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 12.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Take First CornerPortugal won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 3.5 Corners

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event