Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 6.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66e0d3e27be9ba19de2e7381a32039fac31a43dea512a81e5dccf07fa25a8b90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf438…9559backed Over | 37c | 11,354$4,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,118.55 | 144 | 49.3%71 W · 73 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb82…f6babacked Under | 62c | 4,750$2,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,945 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 62c | 3,433$2,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,124.25 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 41c | 2,054$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.01 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 52c | 1,196$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.97 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4317…100fbacked Under | 66c | 1,167$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.15 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 56c | 963.28$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.44 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f4…7763backed Over | 70c | 711.63$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.63 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf1…3018backed Under | 64c | 624.19$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked Under | 64c | 568.8$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.03 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…2a00backed Under | 66c | 549.33$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.56 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 62c | 467.83$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.05 | 362 | 50%181 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Under | 62c | 457.99$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.95 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 62c | 350$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Under | 66c | 265.91$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ade…9951backed Under | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 59c | 223$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.21 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 59c | 223$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.21 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 62c | 186.44$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.49 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…39eabacked Under | 62c | 159.13$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 40c | 147.29$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.84 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x778c…061abacked Over | 60c | 140$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 60c | 116.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370a…cd77backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 38c | 90$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 58c | 78.44$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 36c | 75.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.44 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Under | 60c | 66.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Over | 40c | 62.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…fe71backed Under | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under | 57c | 39.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 36c | 33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 45c | 32.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Under | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Under | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 455 | 48.6%221 W · 234 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 6.5 Cornersthis page
- Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 12.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Take First CornerPortugal won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.