Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0f66e154c3b1232b02a9f7dd086325d266353dc2354c222aeb1889aa8d162d0

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $11,338
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $12,383

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,338 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8dee…412bbacked Over	50c	1,201$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$601.24	894	43.4%388 W · 506 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b5…c0aebacked Over	46c	1,036$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$555.71	77	57.1%44 W · 33 L	+5.5wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Over	46c	1,015$467 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$547.98	227	52.4%119 W · 108 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Under	55c	999.96$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.98	253	52.6%133 W · 120 L	+12.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under	51c	699.97$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.98	1,206	50.2%606 W · 600 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under	55c	695.55$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.57	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67c3…a272backed Under	53c	664.96$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.43	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	-3.3wins	-0.11per pick	68cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Over	48c	625$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325	314	35.7%112 W · 202 L	-11.2wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-16%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under	50c	613.61$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.8	778	45%350 W · 428 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under	56c	549.98$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.99	1,702	36.7%625 W · 1,077 L	-31.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under	52c	537.85$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.36	465	50.3%234 W · 231 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Under	54c	500$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	192	50%96 W · 96 L	+10.7wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+18%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Over	47c	489.36$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$259.36	96	47.9%46 W · 50 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa19b…dea8backed Over	44c	458.72$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258.72	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Over	51c	449.99$229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.5	112	47.3%53 W · 59 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc30f…d8a7backed Over	49c	400$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+2.8wins	+0.19per pick	41cpaid	+53%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	47c	399.81$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.9	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over	44c	352.27$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.27	77	61%47 W · 30 L	+8.1wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+30.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Over	43c	267.91$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.71	137	46.7%64 W · 73 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	50c	250$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	50c	250$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under	53c	241.64$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.85	324	44.1%143 W · 181 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9516…0bcbbacked Over	42c	238.1$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.1	562	40.6%228 W · 334 L	-11.6wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59a6…6ffebacked Under	54c	227.64$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.93	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-4.5wins	-0.19per pick	35cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked Under	51c	215.47$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.02	174	48.9%85 W · 89 L	+9.5wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under	53c	189$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.17	144	50.7%73 W · 71 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	52c	187.41$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.52	1,559	52.4%817 W · 742 L	+97.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under	35c	185.76$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.02	637	45.4%289 W · 348 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd01…73a5backed Under	55c	179.38$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.66	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Over	49c	171.67$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.67	479	35.1%168 W · 311 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under	54c	162.96$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	624	52.7%329 W · 295 L	+10.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Under	49c	156.49$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.68	154	59.7%92 W · 62 L	+20.0wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+32.7%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x778c…061abacked Over	65c	140$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	82	43.9%36 W · 46 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1897…2a42backed Over	43c	116.28$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.28	404	35.6%144 W · 260 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9152…abfbbacked Under	55c	109.09$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	30	20%6 W · 24 L	-7.3wins	-0.24per pick	44cpaid	-62.8%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Under	49c	102$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.98	345	51.9%179 W · 166 L	+17.8wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under	58c	89.14$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.54	1,475	44.9%663 W · 812 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under	51c	84.03$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.86	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Over	52c	78.1$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.18	306	42.8%131 W · 175 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-20%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x648b…8c77backed Over	65c	70.05$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.52	108	55.6%60 W · 48 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd31c…7424backed Under	58c	70$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.6	300	60%180 W · 120 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over	46c	68.69$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.97	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e15…8ea4backed Over	51c	65.1$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.9	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Under	47c	63.16$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	239	43.5%104 W · 135 L	-11.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-14%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	50c	62$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ecc…415abacked Over	43c	58.14$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.14	287	47%135 W · 152 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked Under	51c	57.98$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.81	452	54.6%247 W · 205 L	+13.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf596…45e8backed Over	51c	57.94$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.39	81	44.4%36 W · 45 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d83…c000backed Over	44c	57.43$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.16	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-3.2wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-22%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe267…eb96backed Under	53c	56.26$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	63	52.4%33 W · 30 L	-5.1wins	-0.08per pick	60cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	58c	47.61$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.61	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under	35c	47.27$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.7	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6798…7fbdbacked Over	43c	46.51$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.51	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-2.3wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa882…e517backed Over	43c	46.51$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.51	164	42.1%69 W · 95 L	-5.1wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed Over	48c	45.83$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.83	61	59%36 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5cce…4b52backed Under	55c	44.84$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.66	219	38.8%85 W · 134 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d89…dc09backed Over	48c	41.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.67	153	44.4%68 W · 85 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61d7…cb0cbacked Under	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59d8…ad87backed Under	53c	33.45$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.73	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ef3…b2ddbacked Under	61c	32.79$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	98	42.9%42 W · 56 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Over	49c	32.65$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.65	248	25.8%64 W · 184 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b6f…fe71backed Under	53c	30.01$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	74	60.8%45 W · 29 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97fe…2c4cbacked Over	44c	30$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.8	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x957e…3621backed Over	67c	29.85$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.85	221	47.1%104 W · 117 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcecf…78b2backed Over	40c	28.7$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.22	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	+5.7wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under	47c	27.87$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.16	218	58.7%128 W · 90 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Over	48c	27.55$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.4	198	62.1%123 W · 75 L	+8.7wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over	45c	26.47$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.56	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under	46c	26.3$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.09	791	49.2%389 W · 402 L	+28.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5156…c73dbacked Over	61c	25.99$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.1	39	71.8%28 W · 11 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	68cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf8…5d40backed Over	67c	23.99$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.92	53	56.6%30 W · 23 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Under	48c	23$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.93	770	51.3%395 W · 375 L	+29.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c03…31bbbacked Under	52c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd09…3264backed Under	59c	18$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.62	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-3.5wins	-0.22per pick	53cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersthis page
Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 12.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Take First CornerPortugal won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event