TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,561
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,955

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,561 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a32…0086backed Over29c1,984$575 inWon+$1,408.4186452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under67c1,415$948 inLost-$947.7234357.7%198 W · 145 L+26.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67c3…a272backed Under71c1,408$1,000 inLost-$1,0003056.7%17 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b9a…12a5backed Under2c1,111$22 inLost-$22.227558.7%44 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+76.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5415…f764backed Over33c606.06$200 inWon+$406.069428.7%27 W · 67 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Over33c606.06$200 inWon+$406.0631435.7%112 W · 202 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under74c392.93$291 inLost-$291.451,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fa0…aa66backed Under74c249.63$186 inLost-$185.522259.1%13 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick71cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Over23c235.22$54 inWon+$181.1226155.2%144 W · 117 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under71c192.25$136 inLost-$136.58,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over24c125$30 inWon+$951,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Under76c125$95 inLost-$9561752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc337…5984backed Over33c106.06$35 inWon+$71.0619618.4%36 W · 160 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Over33c91.06$30 inWon+$61.0621525.1%54 W · 161 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over25c75.45$19 inWon+$56.782,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dff…7fecbacked Under71c73.45$52 inLost-$52.1513956.8%79 W · 60 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x09ae…b72ebacked Under76c68.45$52 inLost-$52.021361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick72cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under67c64.64$43 inLost-$43.172,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7668…9db2backed Over28c60.67$17 inWon+$43.6711540%46 W · 69 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1897…2a42backed Over28c53.57$15 inWon+$38.5740435.6%144 W · 260 L+1.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under72c50$36 inLost-$362,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over63c48.54$31 inWon+$17.9638960.7%236 W · 153 L+24.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under67c46.67$31 inLost-$31.293,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b6f…fe71backed Over28c45.27$13 inWon+$32.677460.8%45 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91a3…c457backed Over36c44.18$16 inWon+$28.491435.7%5 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…0b63backed Over30c42.86$13 inWon+$3010945%49 W · 60 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa808…04cebacked Under70c42.86$30 inLost-$303452.9%18 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Under71c38.18$27 inLost-$27.0637747.7%180 W · 197 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under70c30$21 inLost-$2151859.8%310 W · 208 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1617…d790backed Under71c28.75$20 inLost-$20.4124843.1%107 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.