TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,533
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,629

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,533 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x99d7…6435backed Over50c2,075$1,038 inWon+$1,037.585851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under50c1,000$500 inLost-$50070648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c730$365 inLost-$3652,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under50c500$250 inLost-$2501,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under45c275.48$123 inLost-$123.338,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce91…21a4backed Under40c250$100 inLost-$10040%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9516…0bcbbacked Over50c200$100 inWon+$10056240.6%228 W · 334 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9152…abfbbacked Under47c106.38$50 inLost-$503020%6 W · 24 L-7.3wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-62.8%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under46c62.29$29 inLost-$28.652,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b57…263ebacked Over54c37.04$20 inWon+$17.0439752.1%207 W · 190 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x97fe…2c4cbacked Over54c33.26$18 inWon+$15.162240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa146…6163backed Over50c30$15 inWon+$1528850.3%145 W · 143 L-0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5645…658bbacked Over52c28.94$15 inWon+$13.946844.1%30 W · 38 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66ee…c9cdbacked Under45c23$10 inLost-$10.358858%51 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Over51c20.33$10 inWon+$9.969348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.