South American Leagues · resolved market
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. São Paulo FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3d7c37a7a3e6ef09b99614e4cdae36ba4569b341de657fc269467438a1df6d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,759
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,973
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,759 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 2,374$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.27 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 44c | 2,320$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.97 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc700…31a1backed No | 55c | 1,784$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Yes | 45c | 1,276$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed No | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes | 45c | 511.11$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.11 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 45c | 445.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.79 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 45c | 420.36$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.98 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 55c | 320.12$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.27 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 40c | 299.95$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.92 | 148 | 24.3%36 W · 112 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…65dcbacked No | 55c | 295.84$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 60c | 291.98$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.19 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fa…048dbacked Yes | 46c | 216.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.16 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +100%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked No | 11c | 160$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Yes | 46c | 145.09$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.35 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Yes | 46c | 116.72$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.03 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0650…865cbacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 44c | 96$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cf…91abbacked No | 59c | 89.78$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb223…3772backed Yes | 46c | 81.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 55c | 66.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 55c | 58.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 55c | 34.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 45c | 32.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 45c | 30.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 50c | 28.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf813…dbc4backed Yes | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 55c | 19.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. São Paulo FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)São Paulo FC won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-2.5)São Paulo FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.