TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,668
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,561

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,668 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Under46c26,942$12,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,571.2929446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over54c7,407$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00010846.3%50 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over48c4,198$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+36%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over34c3,344$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.6811618.1%21 W · 95 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Under67c2,985$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.071172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under38c2,644$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,644.1122049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over49c2,442$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.595,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over54c2,179$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1723,40751.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Over54c2,002$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.36350.8%32 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over45c1,300$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.9716449.4%81 W · 83 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over54c1,100$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.971,94551.3%998 W · 947 L+40.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501,67051.8%865 W · 805 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb026…9c7bbacked Under48c861.99$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.383234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over54c700$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over47c629.79$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29611127%30 W · 81 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over54c599$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.4642962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over54c579$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.6657540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over54c547.76$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.7965058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over54c547.76$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.7941256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under73c413.22$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.228556.5%48 W · 37 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under59c412.75$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.5821752.1%113 W · 104 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over54c365.06$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.131,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over54c361.53$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.231,30350.1%653 W · 650 L-14.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over56c357.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.991,44237.6%542 W · 900 L+4.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under53c354.15$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.752,17343.6%948 W · 1,225 L-55.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over54c342.25$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.821,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over19c318.96$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.581,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over46c301.19$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.1989645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed Over49c285.86$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1391338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over50c285.71$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.6920022.5%45 W · 155 L-13.1wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c280.65$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.168,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over21c219.2$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5489846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5012…4d3ebacked Over15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303265.6%21 W · 11 L+5.2wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+30.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Over57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11419659.7%117 W · 79 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Under79c197$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4110657.5%61 W · 45 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over54c193$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.2263657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6628…b24abacked Over54c148.15$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over54c141.09$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1944959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over55c130$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.58153.1%43 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over54c129.09$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7138861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over54c129.02$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6747758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Over54c121.16$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.510652.8%56 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Over54c112.5$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7515956.6%90 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e4e…2564backed Under54c111.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.113844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Over54c105.22$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.827055.7%39 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010946.8%51 W · 58 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7525147.8%120 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad76…93febacked Under53c99.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Over49c93.38$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.794971.4%35 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Over56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506654.5%36 W · 30 L+9.0wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+26.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over36c83.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7741145.5%187 W · 224 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x66fa…048dbacked Under61c82.51$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.514100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+100%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over54c80$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.22,61454.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L+25.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over50c77.89$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.271,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fcb…207cbacked Over49c74.63$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.354362.8%27 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4077151.4%396 W · 375 L-3.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under48c70.81$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.721,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over30c65.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.84731.9%15 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under46c65$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.117143.9%75 W · 96 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2744939.2%176 W · 273 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2722853.1%121 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.578856.3%444 W · 344 L+23.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2119…9303backed Over56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cd6…b378backed Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205846.6%27 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under49c49$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0412645.2%57 W · 69 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over50c48.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.58452.4%44 W · 40 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over71c48.12$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.085168.6%35 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Over65c45.65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6710564.8%68 W · 37 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259852%51 W · 47 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbeed…4d8bbacked Under29c45.17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+136.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Over54c42.59$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2312948.1%62 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027031.5%85 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over51c42.08$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6426965.4%176 W · 93 L+48.9wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+40.5%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x9641…8cf4backed Over45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Over54c36.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7319761.9%122 W · 75 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b91…27dcbacked Over55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-49.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd28e…a78fbacked Over55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015041.3%62 W · 88 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8fa…3b36backed Over54c33.33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd72a…0433backed Over66c30.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over54c29.19$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7634155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over61c29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.629361.3%57 W · 36 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x276d…ea8fbacked Under70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.572653.8%14 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Over53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over54c28.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1557157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb495…7c65backed Over76c27.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.133250%16 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked Over54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154850%24 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over70c25.56$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc93c…95cabacked Over54c25.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.785862.1%36 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over55c24.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7170055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb14d…8f95backed Over54c23.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.76425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over46c23.37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7544843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked Under54c21.08$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.756061.7%37 W · 23 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over52c19.84$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2931355.6%174 W · 139 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Over54c19.07$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.39936.4%36 W · 63 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa233…dfe8backed Under60c17.12$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.855954.2%32 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42a9…565cbacked Under76c16.84$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.