South American Leagues · resolved market
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a769740927e8b7f85b55d5593026c07a66258d8c40d08d7d670d98bb0df6107
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Under | 23c | 24,412$5,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,810.88 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 77c | 5,195$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 77c | 4,304$3,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,319.72 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 77c | 2,097$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.51 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 33c | 1,901$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.97 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 75c | 1,836$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.98 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Under | 45c | 1,497$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.28 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 69c | 1,452$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.69 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 77c | 1,417$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.8 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 77c | 1,417$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.8 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 64c | 1,301$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Over | 26c | 1,206$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.31 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 66c | 836.41$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.85 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 77c | 835.92$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.66 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 55c | 718.5$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.33 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 60c | 694.77$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.56 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 56c | 503.88$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.81 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…0c64backed Under | 5c | 494.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.2 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 26c | 338.51$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.16 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 48c | 314.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.12 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 77c | 300$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 173 | 52%90 W · 83 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 57c | 271.04$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.83 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 77c | 259.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.96 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 21c | 187.86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.41 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 56c | 187.79$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.26 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 27c | 185.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +36%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 22c | 166$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 77c | 161$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.97 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6114…69dbbacked Over | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 74c | 136$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 77c | 128.44$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…b24abacked Over | 77c | 116.88$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 788 | 56.3%444 W · 344 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 78c | 98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.3 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 77c | 97.48$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.06 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…95cabacked Over | 77c | 84.55$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.16 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 74c | 79.66$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.33 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…7cc0backed Over | 72c | 78.06$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.89 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Over | 50c | 69.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Over | 77c | 68.51$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.79 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 65c | 67.18$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Under | 21c | 65.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.18 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Under | 23c | 65.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.65 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Over | 77c | 65.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 71c | 64.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…5c3abacked Over | 62c | 62.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 77c | 61.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 77c | 58.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 61c | 57.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…1ad5backed Over | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 44c | 45.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 25c | 43.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Over | 80c | 38.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 36c | 35.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Over | 61c | 32.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Over | 61c | 32.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Under | 45c | 31.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Over | 80c | 27.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea1…6c62backed Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Over | 77c | 25.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Over | 77c | 25.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 79c | 25.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Under | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Over | 79c | 22.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…3b36backed Over | 77c | 21.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 77c | 20.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d62…49c5backed Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed Over | 77c | 18.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Under | 78c | 17.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Over | 67c | 15.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa617…c1d8backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 1.5this page
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Pachuca: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 2.5Under won
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5Under won
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CF Pachuca (-1.5)Deportivo Toluca FC won
- Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-1.5)CF Pachuca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.