South American Leagues · resolved market
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc044670faba296564adea747a7e326369f7f7c3e6b346a677bfc2ba9661c26bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Under | 68c | 2,902$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.78 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 2,353$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.01 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 70c | 1,452$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.95 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 37c | 1,440$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 22c | 1,300$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 18c | 1,250$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 78c | 929.98$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.03 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 34c | 794.12$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 34c | 700$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 33c | 499.96$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…92d6backed Over | 32c | 323.91$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 20c | 299.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.17 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 32c | 271.25$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.78 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…e679backed Over | 32c | 174.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.76 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 67c | 172.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.09 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 34c | 147.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 32c | 130$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 38c | 107$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 67c | 100.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 22c | 83.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3323…f667backed Over | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…11f0backed Under | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 67c | 74.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…1bfdbacked Over | 37c | 57.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 67c | 52.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Under | 60c | 51.48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 33c | 47.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…e997backed Under | 54c | 45.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 29c | 44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 41c | 33.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Under | 73c | 32.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed Under | 62c | 31.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…27dcbacked Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 67c | 29.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeed…4d8bbacked Under | 80c | 27.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +136.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 67c | 26.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd755…1537backed Under | 68c | 24.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…ba99backed Under | 70c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562e…922bbacked Over | 53c | 22.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…7cc0backed Under | 69c | 20.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa17e…cfcdbacked Under | 60c | 20.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 69c | 19.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c9…f75abacked Under | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a4…6f3abacked Under | 77c | 14.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5this page
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Pachuca: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 1.5Under won
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 2.5Under won
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CF Pachuca (-1.5)Deportivo Toluca FC won
- Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-1.5)CF Pachuca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.