TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$109,314
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$123,467

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,314 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa87d…e4bfbacked Under17c21,566$3,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,621.2950%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under42c7,653$3,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,217.156139.3%24 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00012649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6fd…1128backed Over60c3,653$2,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.85955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+42.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…d4bfbacked Over70c3,296$2,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.893764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed Over58c3,043$1,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.92050%10 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under37c2,716$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.056,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under12c2,327$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.285552.7%29 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86013837%51 W · 87 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under35c1,749$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.914,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf706…f685backed Over60c1,639$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.574057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over60c1,500$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60026548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under12c1,178$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.322,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Under32c1,009$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.7333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Over77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23040046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Under12c962.41$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.491118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Over66c910.28$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.281392.3%12 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick73cpaid+27.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Under13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004822.9%11 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over75c733.33$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.3330050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under35c706.36$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.7672142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8287…059ebacked Under56c705.91$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.8650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+42.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over60c548.1$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.245271.2%37 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Under52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2604151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under11c482.61$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5869851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Under11c479.32$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.734325.6%11 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+38.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under12c455.41$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6532345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5833…4893backed Over70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1204654.3%25 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2005837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under51c384.9$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.376842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1417161.4%105 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…e3c2backed Under29c332.79$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.87714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under40c296.67$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.3574644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under35c256$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.0811753%62 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over59c250$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.53259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014949%73 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Over49c220$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.22846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac7…c99abacked Over62c208.11$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.211040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.085935.6%21 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10222242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8374…f183backed Over65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-41.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Under13c192.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2535428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed Under52c179.27$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.223429.4%10 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-39.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9df6…c33bbacked Over60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…1d41backed Over57c155$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.65977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16c7…eb9cbacked Under13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-39.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Over76c150$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362277.3%17 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick72cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under13c148.24$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7957833%191 W · 387 L-29.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed Over74c143$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.647166.2%47 W · 24 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under50c141$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.529250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…5ef4backed Over71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.854100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+55.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdba1…7198backed Over71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.85450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1575…3d32backed Over73c135$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.52875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under12c115$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.840655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under12c113.36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.622049.1%108 W · 112 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f47…120dbacked Under47c110$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7112…bb83backed Under41c109.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked Over68c109$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.089660.4%58 W · 38 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed Under41c102.44$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fcd…f84fbacked Under12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1212239.3%48 W · 74 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over66c97.97$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6636545.2%165 W · 200 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over70c95.22$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9422645.6%103 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Under41c91.2$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3910847.2%51 W · 57 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…ed3cbacked Over60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed Under38c75.38$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.591650%8 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+41.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over60c70.03$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.017659.2%45 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Over60c70$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2814351%73 W · 70 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf94c…8a42backed Over79c69.58$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.612540%10 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over60c66.83$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.833145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over59c66.83$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4815858.2%92 W · 66 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under18c66.63$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1918842.6%80 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6af…b5efbacked Over77c65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.958263.4%52 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over58c63.52$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6859247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0115…ac79backed Over72c61.11$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.111566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over73c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.26666.7%44 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over76c56.92$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6616238.3%62 W · 100 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5f2…bb1dbacked Over72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.56862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over77c51.72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7210454.8%57 W · 47 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-17.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.511839.8%47 W · 71 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6795…4a4cbacked Over57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.51540%6 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209641.7%40 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over65c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1441260.2%248 W · 164 L+22.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over60c37.7$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0173258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x95e4…5134backed Under41c36.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.824637%17 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2da…c498backed Over60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.331040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.336269.4%43 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Over62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.267356.2%41 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over79c29.62$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3122057.7%127 W · 93 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Over71c27.76$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.059857.1%56 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104261.9%26 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+29.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x62a8…4a14backed Over73c20.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.51478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick65cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Over68c20.17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.458644.2%38 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfff…3d0ebacked Over71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.83461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x737d…7590backed Over61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9132…6607backed Over60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb83e…5ce3backed Over64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.63666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+29.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed Over71c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.35450%27 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.