NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9d8006eb3d1e77f239054bbdc24d02db83d13b45ee7913c23bbe333e458425b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $292,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $297,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $292,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 334 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Thunder | 51c | 49,206$25,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,113.4 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Thunder | 46c | 39,426$18,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,290.13 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Thunder | 44c | 29,919$13,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,754.8 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spurs | 49c | 26,405$12,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,897.53 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Spurs | 56c | 24,444$13,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,688.64 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs | 54c | 20,195$10,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,895.54 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Thunder | 46c | 16,942$7,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,118.84 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…5213backed Spurs | 53c | 10,840$5,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,745.14 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Spurs | 49c | 7,881$3,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,882.54 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…89debacked Spurs | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Spurs | 55c | 5,080$2,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,794.88 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6043…84afbacked Spurs | 52c | 3,415$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775.8 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 44c | 3,356$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.68 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 45c | 3,191$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.16 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…bfc2backed Spurs | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Thunder | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Spurs | 51c | 2,765$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.8 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Spurs | 55c | 2,700$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Spurs | 51c | 2,599$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.84 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3af…3f9cbacked Spurs | 59c | 2,502$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.88 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Thunder | 50c | 2,449$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.45 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Thunder | 49c | 2,448$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.41 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Thunder | 44c | 2,225$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.96 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 54c | 2,138$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.67 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Thunder | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc71…2c40backed Thunder | 60c | 2,082$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.57 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +85%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs | 53c | 2,079$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.81 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…8a01backed Spurs | 52c | 2,008$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.99 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Spurs | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.98 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd959…daf7backed Spurs | 55c | 1,999$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Thunder | 50c | 1,974$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.69 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Spurs | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Spurs | 55c | 1,644$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.53 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Spurs | 55c | 1,612$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.1 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Spurs | 48c | 1,536$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.7 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Thunder | 46c | 1,522$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.88 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Thunder | 45c | 1,520$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.11 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Spurs | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Spurs | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.99 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Spurs | 57c | 1,404$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Spurs | 53c | 1,332$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.67 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed Spurs | 56c | 1,255$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Thunder | 46c | 1,205$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.38 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Thunder | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.98 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Thunder | 42c | 1,191$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.61 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Spurs | 56c | 1,140$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.42 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Thunder | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…d430backed Spurs | 56c | 1,108$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.62 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Spurs | 39c | 1,101$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.39 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Thunder | 46c | 1,080$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.53 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Thunder | 44c | 1,061$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.15 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c3…55a3backed Spurs | 58c | 1,024$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.79 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Spurs | 49c | 1,018$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.11 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Spurs | 49c | 1,012$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Spurs | 59c | 1,010$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.73 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Thunder | 51c | 1,008$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.72 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs | 57c | 1,007$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.51 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8590…07adbacked Spurs | 50c | 1,005$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Spurs | 50c | 1,003$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c5…378abacked Spurs | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 157 | 44.6%70 W · 87 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Spurs | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Thunder | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Spurs | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.73 | 131 | 28.2%37 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Spurs | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 240 | 55.4%133 W · 107 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 43c | 999.98$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.99 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Spurs | 56c | 954.39$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.3 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Thunder | 51c | 948$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.56 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Spurs | 57c | 947.37$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spurs | 52c | 935.41$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.41 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Spurs | 54c | 922.7$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.44 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…d944backed Thunder | 50c | 900$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0a…fe3abacked Spurs | 58c | 890$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb097…0e61backed Thunder | 45c | 853.91$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.65 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…a75cbacked Spurs | 56c | 845.72$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Spurs | 56c | 785.32$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.78 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Spurs | 53c | 759.14$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.34 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…68b5backed Spurs | 54c | 736.44$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Thunder | 53c | 715$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.31 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Thunder | 37c | 694.59$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.18 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Spurs | 51c | 678.9$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.82 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Spurs | 52c | 644$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.53 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd4…0c98backed Spurs | 54c | 632.78$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Spurs | 55c | 606.73$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.7 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Spurs | 59c | 575.91$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.69 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Spurs | 54c | 574.63$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.47 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e5…dd0fbacked Spurs | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Spurs | 55c | 546.01$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.94 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…8746backed Spurs | 56c | 527.41$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Spurs | 52c | 523.19$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.74 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd70b…dcb1backed Spurs | 59c | 516.35$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.65 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -12.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Spurs | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.8 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Spurs | 59c | 500$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.47 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x685e…6f30backed Spurs | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…0d90backed Spurs | 53c | 499.92$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.96 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Thunder | 44c | 475.49$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.03 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Thunder | 47c | 468.09$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.09 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Spurs | 56c | 460$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.67 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Thunder | 42c | 426.73$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.63 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Spurs | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 147 | 27.9%41 W · 106 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Thunder | 49c | 418.03$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.52 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spurs vs. ThunderThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.