NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d32e4e3efbbf15ae0d579f02ae89395ad490ac3d1cce6a29cbf8ac025e27992
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $873,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $897,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $873,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 396 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b4e…0232backed Over | 50c | 70,229$35,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,114.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Under | 50c | 60,000$29,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,699.98 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 50c | 57,727$29,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,636.09 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked Under | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…c1efbacked Under | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Under | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,499.96 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 22c | 38,478$8,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,323.65 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Under | 52c | 38,462$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3535…a775backed Over | 51c | 38,364$19,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,798.34 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 49c | 37,348$18,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,161.3 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 50c | 32,236$16,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,117.82 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Under | 51c | 31,442$16,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,035.18 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -11.0wins | -0.28per pick | 49cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Under | 50c | 30,000$15,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,099.99 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 49c | 29,934$14,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,192.56 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Over | 51c | 29,616$15,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,610.65 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Over | 49c | 29,438$14,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,013.38 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 50c | 25,000$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,500 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 51c | 21,388$10,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,462.63 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Under | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,799.96 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 49c | 19,849$9,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,725.85 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 50c | 15,418$7,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,708.91 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 13,317$6,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,847.48 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 12,946$6,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,501.24 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 4c | 12,761$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.8 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…248bbacked Over | 50c | 10,006$5,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,003 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 50c | 8,097$4,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,053.61 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked Over | 50c | 7,208$3,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,604.06 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 49c | 7,027$3,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,583.6 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 6,859$3,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,501.85 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 49c | 6,835$3,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,485.88 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 54c | 6,713$3,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,616.95 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Over | 48c | 6,154$2,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,202.61 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Under | 50c | 5,866$2,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,933 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Under | 50c | 5,640$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…8a01backed Over | 64c | 5,439$3,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.95 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Under | 55c | 4,999$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.64 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Over | 50c | 4,842$2,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420.97 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Over | 50c | 4,214$2,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.9 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd1…7918backed Over | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Under | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.99 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 75c | 3,996$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.73 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Under | 52c | 3,889$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022.3 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Over | 48c | 3,880$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.63 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Under | 52c | 3,787$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.64 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 59c | 3,680$2,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.76 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 21c | 3,656$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.64 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 49c | 3,266$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.34 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 50c | 3,139$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.49 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.98 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 49c | 2,960$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.31 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 43c | 2,891$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.89 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1c…5f43backed Over | 50c | 2,688$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 51c | 2,643$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.48 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 50c | 2,617$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.15 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Under | 50c | 2,500$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.16 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Over | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.99 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab7…d178backed Under | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.99 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Under | 31c | 2,457$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.61 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Under | 50c | 2,397$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.63 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 2,311$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.02 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 50c | 2,278$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.51 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 49c | 2,223$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.7 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…c403backed Under | 49c | 2,031$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.07 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cc…0b39backed Under | 43c | 2,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.99 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Under | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.97 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 37c | 1,906$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.3 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 61c | 1,885$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.86 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed Under | 49c | 1,755$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.07 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Over | 50c | 1,700$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Over | 49c | 1,689$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.38 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 1,641$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.56 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 50c | 1,555$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.5 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 1,514$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.89 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Under | 8c | 1,480$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.9 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28d7…89edbacked Under | 53c | 1,421$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.71 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…1901backed Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 48c | 1,195$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.75 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 43c | 1,156$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.4 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 45c | 1,130$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Under | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.95 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Under | 46c | 1,086$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Over | 50c | 1,064$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.31 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +7.5wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…6302backed Over | 50c | 1,050$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b45…d196backed Over | 44c | 1,038$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.82 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Over | 50c | 1,032$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Under | 49c | 1,011$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.86 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 48c | 1,010$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.14 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Under | 3c | 1,008$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…4871backed Over | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +7.5wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +17%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9f…30b1backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spurs vs. ThunderThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.