TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$873,605
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$897,378

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $873,605 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 396 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5b4e…0232backed Over50c70,229$35,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,114.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Under50c60,000$29,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,699.983844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over50c57,727$29,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,636.0964948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Under50c50,000$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,0005940.7%24 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc408…c1efbacked Under50c50,000$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,0004951%25 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Under51c50,000$25,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,499.9617251.7%89 W · 83 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under50c40,000$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00025248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under22c38,478$8,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,323.651,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Under52c38,462$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0009945.5%45 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3535…a775backed Over51c38,364$19,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,798.341560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over49c37,348$18,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,161.369848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Under50c32,236$16,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,117.8220545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1f4…544cbacked Under51c31,442$16,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,035.183920.5%8 W · 31 L-11.0wins-0.28per pick49cpaid-58.8%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under50c30,000$15,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,099.9914842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over49c29,934$14,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,192.5648352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Over51c29,616$15,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,610.652166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Over49c29,438$14,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,013.387650%38 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over50c25,000$12,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,5002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over51c21,388$10,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,462.6385742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf438…9559backed Under49c20,000$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,799.961855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under49c19,849$9,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,725.851,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Over50c15,418$7,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,708.9129243.8%128 W · 164 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over49c13,317$6,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,847.4855251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c12,946$6,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,501.244,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under4c12,761$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.82,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf83…248bbacked Over50c10,006$5,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0031643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under50c8,097$4,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,053.6137355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83a0…eabbbacked Over50c7,208$3,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,604.062560%15 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over49c7,027$3,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,583.690650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over49c6,859$3,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,501.858,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over49c6,835$3,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,485.8863746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under54c6,713$3,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,616.9514538.6%56 W · 89 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Over48c6,154$2,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,202.6115952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under53c6,000$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,18079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Over48c6,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1209447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Under50c5,866$2,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9335940.7%24 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Under50c5,640$2,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,82018349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2efa…8a01backed Over64c5,439$3,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,977.956352.4%33 W · 30 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5007963.3%50 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Under55c4,999$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,749.6410248%49 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Over50c4,842$2,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,420.9748845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Over50c4,214$2,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,106.914441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4dd1…7918backed Over46c4,000$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1602454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Under55c4,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.9928056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over75c3,996$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.7324159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Under52c3,889$2,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,022.332846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Over48c3,880$1,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,017.635657.1%32 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Under52c3,787$1,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,967.644348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over59c3,680$2,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,501.7652461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under21c3,656$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.641,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under49c3,266$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600.3464651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over50c3,139$1,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,569.4956646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Over50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50012741.7%53 W · 74 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.9823742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under49c2,960$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450.3110248%49 W · 53 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under43c2,891$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.8968838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f1c…5f43backed Over50c2,688$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3442846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under51c2,643$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.4862051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under50c2,617$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.1530551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under50c2,500$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.1643438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Over46c2,500$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.998451.2%43 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ab7…d178backed Under49c2,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.991637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Under31c2,457$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.6189444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under50c2,397$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.6365939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over47c2,311$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.022,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Under50c2,278$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.5114148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over49c2,223$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.732045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x486e…c403backed Under49c2,031$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.071353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cc…0b39backed Under43c2,000$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8503953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Under49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.9913642.6%58 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Under56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.9734456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under37c1,906$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.31,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over61c1,885$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.8693148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Under49c1,755$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.073951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Over50c1,700$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85020945.5%95 W · 114 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Over49c1,689$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.387143.7%31 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over47c1,641$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.564,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under50c1,555$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.576249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c1,514$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.891,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked Under8c1,480$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.95829.3%17 W · 41 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x28d7…89edbacked Under53c1,421$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.712138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0af1…1901backed Under50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under48c1,195$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.7561638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under43c1,156$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.42,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under45c1,130$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51335849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Under50c1,100$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5508951.7%46 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under50c1,100$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9560049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Under46c1,086$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011235.7%40 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fbf…4605backed Over50c1,064$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.313275%24 W · 8 L+7.5wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x41bb…6302backed Over50c1,050$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5252857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b45…d196backed Over44c1,038$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.8212540.8%51 W · 74 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Over50c1,032$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51913435.8%48 W · 86 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.418450%42 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Under49c1,011$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.8611759.8%70 W · 47 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over48c1,010$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.1425352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Under3c1,008$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2340548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49f7…4871backed Over57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4306055%33 W · 27 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+17%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014640.4%59 W · 87 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf9f…30b1backed Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5101266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+42.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50029635.8%106 W · 190 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.