TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$107,018
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,813

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,018 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xce5b…5024backed Under48c7,236$3,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,439.1530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over46c6,543$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,543.1624159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc408…c1efbacked Over51c5,585$2,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,736.554951%25 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over49c5,577$2,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,851.7893148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc43c…e9e8backed Under67c4,372$2,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,914.713444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ab1…b4ecbacked Under43c4,345$1,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,876.41258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad7c…6244backed Over49c2,921$1,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.493444.1%15 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+21.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over30c2,843$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000.6825352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc71…2c40backed Over34c2,434$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.144738.3%18 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+85%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd09…7f92backed Under72c2,070$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001050%5 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-33.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under46c1,875$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85861638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Over64c1,800$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.0828056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under55c1,682$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.691,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over48c1,596$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.5453842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under57c1,478$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.51,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Under73c1,363$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98830055.7%167 W · 133 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over26c1,299$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.0266352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under51c1,193$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.4334255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under44c1,165$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.6769848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over52c1,158$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.1652461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under54c1,156$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.5368838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf42a…4b3cbacked Under72c1,031$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.782259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcebf…832ebacked Under70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+30.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over42c963.65$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.3164948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5bc7…2415backed Under48c866.96$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.55520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-59.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Under72c835.4$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60018853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdea…6951backed Under53c755.19$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020434.8%71 W · 133 L+0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2c5…b9b6backed Under41c735.34$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002536%9 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0739…aba8backed Over50c710.71$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.332948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e35…3655backed Over32c672.31$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.17650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+35.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under49c651.8$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.8732045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under52c651.69$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.271,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under70c628.66$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.236,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae8f…1cc3backed Over43c600$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3425446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Under51c598$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.9820558.5%120 W · 85 L+19.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over53c588$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27645445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under57c582.27$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.2552150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over48c531.18$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.481,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4c9…8803backed Over57c512.39$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.533265.6%21 W · 11 L+8.2wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+109.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.162,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x598a…1bdfbacked Over30c495.08$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.081546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf92f…1a35backed Over30c490$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3431118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-37.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under51c430$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.8930551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over38c412.23$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.551,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8feb…63fcbacked Over56c400$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17520350.2%102 W · 101 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Under42c400$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16726745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe80f…b81bbacked Under72c359.36$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.037562.7%47 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x614b…ca37backed Over53c345.28$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.283043.3%13 W · 17 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-17.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under48c330.63$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.4489850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Under54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1623647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9856…8d02backed Under70c290.23$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.163158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+44.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Over76c288.13$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1321640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Over60c264.61$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.617835.9%28 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under61c229.51$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcc6…095fbacked Over30c229$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.310545.7%48 W · 57 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under52c218.77$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.7452053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over39c211.03$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5560250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under51c211$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6119548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Over49c201.16$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.8911232.1%36 W · 76 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1121,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over27c200$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14685449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked Over67c190$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.75829.3%17 W · 41 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Over33c182.88$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5321046.2%97 W · 113 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under53c173$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1130842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf13d…afc3backed Under61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ab…8432backed Under62c162.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e7…cbeebacked Under70c160$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under49c139.97$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.781,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Under72c139.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009660.4%58 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Over30c134.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.9811446.5%53 W · 61 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over53c131.8$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.272,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c123.25$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.558,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe720…2bb3backed Over29c122.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.322744.4%12 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c1d…d05ebacked Under10c121.72$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1214728.6%42 W · 105 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under47c121.08$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9155251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8906…da84backed Under72c115.28$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under67c113.91$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3261151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98f2…09d4backed Over31c112.9$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e60…449abacked Over38c111.43$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.533135.5%11 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+27.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e3e…a78abacked Under18c105$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.914237.3%53 W · 89 L-11.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under39c100.17$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6742842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x389d…995fbacked Under46c100.09$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.558843.2%38 W · 50 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb82…0675backed Over29c100.02$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.574645.7%21 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee4d…5413backed Under61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.922657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+40.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb305…ca4ebacked Under61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+40.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Over30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7040548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4745445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb74f…d843backed Under52c96.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506250%31 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee1…da96backed Over29c86.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.211338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick31cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under43c85.71$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.952,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under70c84.93$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7444740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x578e…ae91backed Under12c83.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.041020%2 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-42.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc059…a1edbacked Under63c78.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6412254.9%67 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa89b…3c2bbacked Under71c75$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.253542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Under47c72.16$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2126043.8%114 W · 146 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under70c70$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4918445.7%84 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7970…eccabacked Over30c67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.92560%15 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+38.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked Over41c67$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.586334.9%22 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Under47c61.48$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9122143.4%96 W · 125 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.