NBA · resolved market
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f68d420c8c526a2de204e004b8ac1ca3da7f1679f2300b55af41c2da51192c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 45c | 2,270$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.84 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 46c | 2,166$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.35 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 54c | 1,222$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.22 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3b…07f7backed Yes | 55c | 1,188$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.85 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked No | 48c | 1,119$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.15 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Yes | 54c | 1,059$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.84 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed No | 46c | 1,010$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.61 | 131 | 61.8%81 W · 50 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…a3bebacked Yes | 54c | 901.3$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.3 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f3…d56cbacked Yes | 56c | 900.51$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.51 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x804f…13abbacked Yes | 54c | 699.97$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.03 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 55c | 548.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.76 | 337 | 49.3%166 W · 171 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…8a76backed No | 44c | 470.84$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.17 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 45c | 443.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.79 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c5…3d6fbacked Yes | 52c | 369.23$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.23 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed No | 45c | 330.91$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.91 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked No | 47c | 257.45$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…e8bdbacked No | 46c | 251.01$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.46 | 330 | 49.1%162 W · 168 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…b31fbacked Yes | 54c | 230.75$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.75 | 143 | 57.3%82 W · 61 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 44c | 201.26$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.55 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…e573backed No | 45c | 199.95$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.98 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed No | 46c | 186.18$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.64 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…7dcbbacked Yes | 55c | 180.36$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.36 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfd…ff86backed No | 47c | 177.01$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.19 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 45c | 165.77$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.94 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7987…884abacked Yes | 52c | 163.46$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.46 | 258 | 50%129 W · 129 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x517b…be02backed Yes | 55c | 160$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked No | 46c | 142$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.32 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 46c | 119.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed No | 47c | 113.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 361 | 53.5%193 W · 168 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 66c | 112.2$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.56 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed No | 45c | 110$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked No | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd424…bf7bbacked Yes | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b2…cedbbacked Yes | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +128.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72d…f11ebacked Yes | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e4…757dbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd70c…43eabacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…a2cebacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed No | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 437 | 52.6%230 W · 207 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc87e…3616backed Yes | 55c | 98.18$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 68c | 98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.64 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Yes | 39c | 96.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4888…f20bbacked Yes | 53c | 93.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf875…37d2backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x903e…2829backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…dc66backed Yes | 54c | 88.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.27 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e1…d473backed Yes | 53c | 84.34$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.64 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c43…31c1backed Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x810f…aa88backed Yes | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +130.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Yes | 37c | 71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 249 | 36.9%92 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58fe…1c16backed Yes | 52c | 66.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a9…44d3backed Yes | 55c | 65.66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 284 | 55.3%157 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 56c | 59.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dee…1415backed Yes | 54c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a80…b90abacked Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c71…4fbabacked Yes | 55c | 54.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c52…6431backed Yes | 54c | 53.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Yes | 37c | 52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 172 | 37.2%64 W · 108 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d970backed Yes | 55c | 51.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…68aabacked Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98c6…e7a3backed Yes | 52c | 47.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Yes | 33c | 46.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98e…2341backed Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…f481backed No | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed No | 47c | 39.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 188 | 53.7%101 W · 87 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…e44bbacked Yes | 52c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa109…c0b8backed Yes | 52c | 38.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb34…6f11backed Yes | 54c | 37.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13db…2523backed Yes | 54c | 37.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x485c…c6b3backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Yes | 55c | 36.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 373 | 44.2%165 W · 208 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e6…757abacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2308…e2dcbacked Yes | 56c | 35.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d9…c160backed Yes | 52c | 34.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c30…5a6ebacked Yes | 55c | 34.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +5.9wins | +0.35per pick | 36cpaid | +149%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7df9…3a84backed Yes | 59c | 33.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed No | 45c | 30.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a94…b335backed Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…42d4backed Yes | 55c | 29.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7870…7f43backed Yes | 52c | 28.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…f32fbacked Yes | 54c | 24.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 45c | 24.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 269 | 57.2%154 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked Yes | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcff…4f4bbacked Yes | 44c | 22.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec7…ed98backed No | 48c | 21.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2f…a285backed Yes | 54c | 21.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa2…5e7cbacked Yes | 55c | 20.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb1…da33backed Yes | 53c | 20.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57b…6783backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spurs vs. ThunderThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.