TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x98c6…e7a3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
287
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Stocks at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT16456.1%92 W · 72 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 164 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.08
Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.87
Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.87
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$23.78
Athletics vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.75
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$17.92
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.12
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.5
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.17
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.82
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.61
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.56
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.45
Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$22.85
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Showing 25 of 164 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT9051.1%46 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 90 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$129.94
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$16.85
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.54
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.15
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$23.78
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$93.11
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.12
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$27.91
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$18.29
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$7.6
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.11
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.39
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.65
Showing 25 of 90 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+41.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+599.3%+$148.33
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$44
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.08
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$48.04
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$42.14
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$32.81
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.45
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$30.25
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$22.85
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
All 18 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+26.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$24.75
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$35.62
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.61
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$24.75
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$31.5
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+150%+$37.13
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.