MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf02193822b4d841e57f8458445deac89907911e58b4470d4c1506b300602f13c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof St. Louis Cardinals, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $408,151
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $435,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $408,151 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed St. Louis Cardinals | 30c | 99,813$29,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,978.77 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 77,777$33,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,444.11 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 29,096$16,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,518.39 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs | 80c | 28,142$22,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,730.86 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 79c | 24,914$19,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,355.97 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 18,849$10,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,091.64 | 441 | 54.2%239 W · 202 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 18,086$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 66c | 16,270$10,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,544.79 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 13,218$7,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,683.71 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Chicago Cubs | 70c | 13,103$9,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,930.71 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago Cubs | 73c | 12,755$9,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,420.81 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 12,500$7,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,375 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 23c | 11,433$2,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600.89 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago Cubs | 70c | 8,261$5,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480.38 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf40…dacdbacked Chicago Cubs | 66c | 7,600$5,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 6,435$3,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,756.99 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 5,837$2,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,509.9 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 5,774$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 5,572$3,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,395.96 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 18c | 5,555$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Chicago Cubs | 67c | 5,361$3,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.12 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed St. Louis Cardinals | 26c | 5,164$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.84 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…ca8cbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 4,386$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 3,742$2,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.16 | 320 | 58.4%187 W · 133 L | +26.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 5c | 3,462$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.71 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Chicago Cubs | 70c | 3,172$2,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.35 | 620 | 43.1%267 W · 353 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 1,994$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.42 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 1,800$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 23c | 1,739$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dec…53b0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 1,682$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…9a41backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 1,515$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Chicago Cubs | 70c | 1,231$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.2 | 1,139 | 42.7%486 W · 653 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Chicago Cubs | 70c | 1,228$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.3 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Chicago Cubs | 70c | 1,204$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.17 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 1,179$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.97 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Chicago Cubs | 70c | 1,139$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.69 | 251 | 53%133 W · 118 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 1,024$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.32 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 1,017$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.24 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed St. Louis Cardinals | 15c | 1,017$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.4 | 926 | 45.9%425 W · 501 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago Cubs | 78c | 1,005$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.45 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.99 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Chicago Cubs | 70c | 972.4$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.72 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 767.44$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 963 | 49%472 W · 491 L | -39.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 16c | 750$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 697.59$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.45 | 570 | 53.3%304 W · 266 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 697.49$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.95 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 662.49$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.41 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 610$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.07 | 955 | 55.2%527 W · 428 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 594.95$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.88 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago Cubs | 76c | 549.01$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.26 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 540.9$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.49 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b5…7e9abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…b746backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 404.76$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 396.96$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.84 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed St. Louis Cardinals | 10c | 379.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Chicago Cubs | 67c | 366.8$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.04 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcd…c367backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 260$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.31 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 259$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.78 | 1,306 | 50.7%662 W · 644 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Chicago Cubs | 69c | 246.63$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.59 | 1,022 | 50.6%517 W · 505 L | +54.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa518…cce4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 13c | 238.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Chicago Cubs | 78c | 235.88$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.35 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 520 | 45.2%235 W · 285 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…d7cdbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 225.47$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.44 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 223.81$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.02 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 9c | 222.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Chicago Cubs | 71c | 212.94$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.37 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 9c | 211.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 204$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.72 | 455 | 45.7%208 W · 247 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cf…5507backed Chicago Cubs | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +131.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9107…75e0backed Chicago Cubs | 77c | 194.49$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…efddbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 182$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Chicago Cubs | 70c | 180.28$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Chicago Cubs | 70c | 162$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Chicago Cubs | 70c | 158.23$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.47 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa781…8745backed Chicago Cubs | 37c | 151$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.05 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 21c | 146.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 869 | 48.4%421 W · 448 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 143$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 378 | 68.8%260 W · 118 L | +25.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Chicago Cubs | 69c | 141.04$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.17 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Chicago Cubs | 76c | 139.36$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a6…ce63backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 132.83$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.79 | 1,055 | 50.3%531 W · 524 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 131.92$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 186 | 52.7%98 W · 88 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 130$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Chicago Cubs | 70c | 129.12$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Chicago Cubs | 75c | 128$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed St. Louis Cardinals | 30c | 119.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 848 | 40.2%341 W · 507 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…968dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48e…acf3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 145 | 43.4%63 W · 82 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…a6f9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 115.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +8.1wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubsthis page
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago CubsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.