MLB · resolved market
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55e9fb6775a37aef014bac1a72aa15a3298acad017e2305a5b60fbd2868b5b1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Chicago Cubs, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 80c | 9,777$7,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.97 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 6,355$2,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,123.58 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 5,306$2,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,024.42 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed St. Louis Cardinals | 21c | 5,085$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.92 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 21c | 4,121$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.25 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago Cubs | 72c | 3,998$2,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.27 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 3,941$2,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,403.89 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…ca8cbacked Chicago Cubs | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 2,252$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.1 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 17c | 2,195$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.58 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed St. Louis Cardinals | 17c | 1,312$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 1,254$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.65 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 1,184$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.15 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 1,093$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.73 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Chicago Cubs | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 952.38$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 19c | 758.97$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.17 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 754.27$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.65 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Chicago Cubs | 40c | 667.45$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.57 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 627.07$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.24 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 547.1$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.2 | 736 | 50.7%373 W · 363 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed St. Louis Cardinals | 24c | 480$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.22 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Chicago Cubs | 37c | 463$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.69 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Chicago Cubs | 37c | 390$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.7 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed St. Louis Cardinals | 20c | 313$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.85 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Chicago Cubs | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 592 | 52.7%312 W · 280 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Chicago Cubs | 37c | 299$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.37 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 26c | 286.4$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.36 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 201.62$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.89 | 2,172 | 39.9%866 W · 1,306 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Chicago Cubs | 43c | 200.03$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.01 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Chicago Cubs | 37c | 194.47$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.52 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 24c | 161$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 778 | 52.2%406 W · 372 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked Chicago Cubs | 40c | 158$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 194 | 35.6%69 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed St. Louis Cardinals | 19c | 152$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 149$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed St. Louis Cardinals | 20c | 143.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 105.12$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Chicago Cubs | 39c | 103$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.83 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Chicago Cubs | 39c | 103$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.83 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Chicago Cubs | 40c | 97.75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.65 | 799 | 43.2%345 W · 454 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 93.6$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 407 | 53.3%217 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Chicago Cubs | 36c | 92.8$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.54 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed St. Louis Cardinals | 27c | 92.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 29c | 91.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Chicago Cubs | 38c | 90$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed St. Louis Cardinals | 64c | 87$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago Cubs | 74c | 82.73$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Chicago Cubs | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Chicago Cubs | 39c | 79.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 76.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 73.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 476 | 46.2%220 W · 256 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…d760backed Chicago Cubs | 40c | 61.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 246 | 44.7%110 W · 136 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Chicago Cubs | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Chicago Cubs | 18c | 57.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.38 | 1,022 | 50.6%517 W · 505 L | +54.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a73…1c47backed St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 53.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed St. Louis Cardinals | 31c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Chicago Cubs | 73c | 49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 31c | 46.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 1,819 | 49.3%896 W · 923 L | -24.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Chicago Cubs | 40c | 44.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…2aa4backed Chicago Cubs | 77c | 35.05$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Chicago Cubs | 39c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Chicago Cubs | 40c | 34.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 445 | 53.5%238 W · 207 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4675…b0d5backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db9…190ebacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 220 | 64.1%141 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 1,884 | 53%998 W · 886 L | +16.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 30.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29c…1e43backed Chicago Cubs | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Chicago Cubs | 62c | 19.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 906 | 69.9%633 W · 273 L | +94.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 72c | 18.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 1,481 | 63.5%940 W · 541 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago CubsChicago Cubs won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago CubsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.