MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87d01f6df1ace6b16fc6a77c72eea3393909a43c089355bd87436b3e7e497612
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof New York Mets, Atlanta Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,668,984
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,936,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,668,984 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 444 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked New York Mets | 50c | 208,777$104,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,388.49 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 200,000$100,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,000.15 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…a230backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 106,000$53,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,000 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Braves | 25c | 105,069$26,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,121.78 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Mets | 71c | 78,595$55,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,106.71 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked New York Mets | 52c | 78,118$40,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,390.78 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed New York Mets | 52c | 62,217$32,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,864.28 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 60,833$27,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,252.37 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed New York Mets | 52c | 59,059$30,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,464.37 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 54,264$26,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,589.37 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 34,117$17,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,070.56 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked New York Mets | 51c | 32,627$16,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,127.07 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked New York Mets | 49c | 30,000$14,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,300 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Atlanta Braves | 23c | 28,827$6,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,507.96 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed New York Mets | 50c | 28,437$14,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,218.5 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…bc89backed New York Mets | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked New York Mets | 49c | 18,155$8,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,259.29 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Atlanta Braves | 53c | 15,409$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,099.69 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 15,249$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 12,801$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,900 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Atlanta Braves | 32c | 12,625$4,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,075.29 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed New York Mets | 48c | 12,500$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Atlanta Braves | 35c | 12,437$4,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,307.8 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 12,026$5,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,949.54 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Mets | 58c | 11,656$6,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,931.41 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Mets | 53c | 10,267$5,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,840.13 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 10,185$4,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,888.62 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked New York Mets | 50c | 10,153$5,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,076.5 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 10,000$4,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,750 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed New York Mets | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 8,815$4,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,388.84 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Mets | 50c | 8,223$4,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,117.12 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked New York Mets | 50c | 7,925$3,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,978.97 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed New York Mets | 46c | 6,576$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,575.99 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Atlanta Braves | 30c | 6,521$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.97 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 6,285$3,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,023.09 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked New York Mets | 50c | 6,081$3,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,040.53 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked New York Mets | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f7…b2e9backed New York Mets | 51c | 5,994$3,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed New York Mets | 70c | 5,800$4,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed New York Mets | 50c | 4,915$2,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,457.68 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 4,902$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked New York Mets | 51c | 4,850$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400.5 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Atlanta Braves | 35c | 4,231$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.57 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Atlanta Braves | 32c | 3,569$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.14 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2a…315ebacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 3,500$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed New York Mets | 49c | 3,259$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.18 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked New York Mets | 50c | 3,190$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked New York Mets | 48c | 3,172$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.94 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves | 34c | 2,837$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.29 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked New York Mets | 42c | 2,821$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.69 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Atlanta Braves | 20c | 2,412$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.34 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked New York Mets | 64c | 2,336$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.82 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Atlanta Braves | 1c | 2,335$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Atlanta Braves | 21c | 2,322$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.93 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Atlanta Braves | 20c | 2,159$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.78 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dec…53b0backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 2,148$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.32 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Atlanta Braves | 36c | 2,042$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.27 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Atlanta Braves | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed New York Mets | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.93 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Atlanta Braves | 20c | 1,933$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.87 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Atlanta Braves | 25c | 1,692$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed New York Mets | 53c | 1,685$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.42 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Atlanta Braves | 27c | 1,650$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.03 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 1,627$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.77 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed New York Mets | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…3f29backed New York Mets | 51c | 1,566$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.1 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 1,475$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.21 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 1,408$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.07 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 1,377$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.01 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed New York Mets | 47c | 1,280$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.2 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked New York Mets | 47c | 1,197$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.29 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Atlanta Braves | 47c | 1,191$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.77 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 1,183$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.7 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29e0…2ffabacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 1,146$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 1,098$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.02 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Atlanta Braves | 51c | 1,030$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.68 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…f59bbacked Atlanta Braves | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Atlanta Braves | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Atlanta Braves | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked Atlanta Braves | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed New York Mets | 51c | 943$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.07 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked New York Mets | 37c | 938.72$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.39 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed New York Mets | 51c | 786.52$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.53 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked New York Mets | 69c | 757.09$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.05 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…6540backed Atlanta Braves | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 148 | 48.6%72 W · 76 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Atlanta Braves | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -82%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed New York Mets | 52c | 746.14$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.15 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…36f4backed New York Mets | 50c | 742$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Atlanta Braves | 5c | 634.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed New York Mets | 50c | 612.24$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.12 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed New York Mets | 71c | 607.63$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.96 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68b7…0812backed Atlanta Braves | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed New York Mets | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed New York Mets | 53c | 598.42$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.48 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed New York Mets | 50c | 596.08$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.08 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd722…42a7backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f14…a4ebbacked New York Mets | 52c | 577.12$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.12 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed New York Mets | 65c | 574.92$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.22 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Bravesthis page
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 11.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 12.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 13.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 15.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Atlanta BravesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.