TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
New York Metsof Atlanta Braves, New York Mets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$167,896
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$235,686

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,896 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a26…937ebacked New York Mets68c68,116$46,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,047.4161351.5%316 W · 297 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Braves38c33,820$12,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,687.8411,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Atlanta Braves32c14,895$4,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,766.551,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets49c7,966$3,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,062.7210,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Braves33c7,782$2,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,534.685,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Atlanta Braves37c5,212$1,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,925.872,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Atlanta Braves32c5,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6001,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Atlanta Braves32c4,578$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4656,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked New York Mets68c4,512$3,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,443.7221748.4%105 W · 112 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Braves33c2,985$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.864,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked New York Mets66c2,350$1,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.991,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets59c2,349$1,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.6312,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Atlanta Braves32c1,817$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.3221550.2%108 W · 107 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Atlanta Braves34c1,429$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.468,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Atlanta Braves33c1,007$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.482,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Atlanta Braves36c999.62$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.862,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Atlanta Braves32c636.24$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.076,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Atlanta Braves32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed New York Mets63c523.3$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.8761450.8%312 W · 302 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked New York Mets58c520.09$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.4982636.6%302 W · 524 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked New York Mets63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1851,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c8e…a316backed Atlanta Braves32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16022638.5%87 W · 139 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Atlanta Braves29c499.99$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.91,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Atlanta Braves33c444$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.523,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Atlanta Braves34c441.18$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Atlanta Braves58c422.99$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.019165.9%60 W · 31 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed New York Mets68c420$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.391,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf5a…9d75backed Atlanta Braves5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010515.2%16 W · 89 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Atlanta Braves33c390$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.71,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9a0…c52bbacked Atlanta Braves35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023145.5%105 W · 126 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed New York Mets55c278$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.93,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked Atlanta Braves34c215.44$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2540447.8%193 W · 211 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Atlanta Braves34c179.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.22,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Atlanta Braves34c168.38$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.251,13357.2%648 W · 485 L+35.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Atlanta Braves26c168.06$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.792046%423 W · 497 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Atlanta Braves34c168$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.931,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed Atlanta Braves36c163.94$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9426438.3%101 W · 163 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Atlanta Braves34c156.25$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.132,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7693…470fbacked New York Mets64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2521354.5%116 W · 97 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Braves34c150$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Atlanta Braves35c145.71$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5129344.7%131 W · 162 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed New York Mets74c138.89$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.114,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Atlanta Braves40c135.28$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.811,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Atlanta Braves37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5068942.2%291 W · 398 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed New York Mets66c130$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.21,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed New York Mets63c128.73$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.243,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bb4…4551backed Atlanta Braves34c124.53$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3421152.6%111 W · 100 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04ed…0adfbacked Atlanta Braves34c107.71$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6224657.3%141 W · 105 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Atlanta Braves28c104.13$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.766,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36f4…0eb2backed New York Mets64c100.09$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0385949.1%422 W · 437 L-3.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Atlanta Braves36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367339.7%29 W · 44 L-8.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf655…7f1abacked Atlanta Braves32c80$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.641236.7%151 W · 261 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Atlanta Braves61c78$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.385,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked New York Mets39c72.5$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2211535.7%41 W · 74 L-12.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-35.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Atlanta Braves30c71.43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.431,91253%1,014 W · 898 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb015…eea7backed New York Mets64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Atlanta Braves56c61.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.813,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Atlanta Braves33c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.873849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe16…60bebacked New York Mets68c58.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.829761.9%60 W · 37 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Atlanta Braves33c58.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.271,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d3…5639backed Atlanta Braves34c57.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5720654.4%112 W · 94 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a73…1c47backed New York Mets44c56.81$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.814839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8499…950dbacked Atlanta Braves37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209945.5%45 W · 54 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked New York Mets46c52$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0810253.9%55 W · 47 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7aa…abe3backed Atlanta Braves34c45.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4735149.3%173 W · 178 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc29f…dc4ebacked Atlanta Braves34c43.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.658545.9%39 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets68c40.37$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.988,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2c2…e9bfbacked New York Mets65c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc23…a9f2backed Atlanta Braves35c39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6546854.5%255 W · 213 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1719…ec68backed Atlanta Braves35c39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6572154.2%391 W · 330 L+20.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+144.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0098…71e0backed Atlanta Braves34c34.47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7215252%79 W · 73 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed New York Mets64c34.39$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.383,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73cc…c092backed Atlanta Braves37c32.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.941540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ebd…7fd4backed Atlanta Braves33c32.03$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.64141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed New York Mets77c26.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.0188046.4%408 W · 472 L-22.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked New York Mets58c19.66$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2655758%323 W · 234 L+24.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf766…9251backed New York Mets64c15.75$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.671,46463.5%929 W · 535 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb220…b186backed New York Mets64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.63560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42fe…b1d0backed New York Mets74c14$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.582085%17 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick70cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.