TailMyPicks
Market

MLB · resolved market

Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Atlanta Bravesof New York Mets, Atlanta Braves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$129,645
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$129,559

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,645 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…ad50backed New York Mets41c96,077$38,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,930.7331149.2%153 W · 158 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Braves56c28,410$15,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,586.5110,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Braves59c18,946$11,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,689.9111,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Atlanta Braves60c8,952$5,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,580.83,50951%1,789 W · 1,720 L+53.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Atlanta Braves60c8,110$4,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,282.881,58648.5%770 W · 816 L-2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed New York Mets53c8,008$4,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,279.591,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Braves61c7,991$4,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,156.625,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Atlanta Braves60c7,582$4,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,032.366,12355.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L+346.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked New York Mets41c7,500$3,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,07521748.4%105 W · 112 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Braves59c6,475$3,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,654.734,51548.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L-46.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked New York Mets39c6,147$2,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,397.361,41449.5%700 W · 714 L-4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Atlanta Braves59c5,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0501,30150.2%653 W · 648 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Atlanta Braves60c4,155$2,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,651.886,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves39c3,447$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,097.3112,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Atlanta Braves39c2,853$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,739.168,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Atlanta Braves60c1,698$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.3365749.2%323 W · 334 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Atlanta Braves53c1,646$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.353,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Atlanta Braves60c1,473$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.1692645.9%425 W · 501 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Atlanta Braves59c1,108$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.2857753.2%307 W · 270 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Atlanta Braves2c1,000$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98035747.6%170 W · 187 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Atlanta Braves60c901.63$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.652,58861.5%1,591 W · 997 L+72.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Atlanta Braves60c819.68$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.8797050.7%492 W · 478 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Atlanta Braves62c784.74$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.28,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Atlanta Braves60c780$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3121,63549.3%806 W · 829 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Atlanta Braves59c712$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.921,53848.6%747 W · 791 L-5.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Atlanta Braves60c617$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.432,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Atlanta Braves58c543.26$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.971,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Atlanta Braves59c504.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2439948.1%192 W · 207 L-1.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Atlanta Braves59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20513438.8%52 W · 82 L-12.7wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c8e…a316backed Atlanta Braves59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20522638.5%87 W · 139 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed New York Mets38c495.5$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.294,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Atlanta Braves60c495.02$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.0161450.8%312 W · 302 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Atlanta Braves60c491.9$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.761,73749.1%852 W · 885 L+7.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked New York Mets38c463$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.9473650.7%373 W · 363 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed New York Mets37c360.99$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.5741141.4%170 W · 241 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Atlanta Braves60c299$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.61,13357.2%648 W · 485 L+35.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed New York Mets66c299$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.344,36847.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L-79.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Atlanta Braves59c240$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.441637.5%156 W · 260 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aca…61fdbacked Atlanta Braves62c200.04$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.0227454.4%149 W · 125 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04ed…0adfbacked Atlanta Braves60c189.42$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.7724657.3%141 W · 105 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Atlanta Braves61c179.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.92,41349.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L+22.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked Atlanta Braves60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6741048.3%198 W · 212 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf35f…605cbacked Atlanta Braves59c149.15$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Atlanta Braves46c132.04$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.666,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd991…faeabacked Atlanta Braves64c125.77$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7740449.3%199 W · 205 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72f3…d396backed Atlanta Braves64c121.88$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8851646.9%242 W · 274 L-21.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked New York Mets43c119.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5956440.4%228 W · 336 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea6e…7c46backed Atlanta Braves62c112.9$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.967449.4%333 W · 341 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Atlanta Braves58c102.87$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1760049.3%296 W · 304 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Atlanta Braves60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4073849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Atlanta Braves58c98.77$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4540554.8%222 W · 183 L+17.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed New York Mets37c92.55$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.242,99547.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L+12.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Atlanta Braves60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.332,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Atlanta Braves61c83$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3792554.1%500 W · 425 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Atlanta Braves59c81.14$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.274,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Atlanta Braves46c77.8$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.725,81243.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L-188.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc29f…dc4ebacked Atlanta Braves60c75.77$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.318545.9%39 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7aa…abe3backed Atlanta Braves60c75.75$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.335149.3%173 W · 178 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Atlanta Braves59c74.29$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.131,27857%728 W · 550 L+33.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28f7…404dbacked Atlanta Braves48c72.92$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9247646.2%220 W · 256 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bb4…4551backed Atlanta Braves60c70.57$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2321252.4%111 W · 101 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbb9…40d7backed Atlanta Braves60c70$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Atlanta Braves58c67.91$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.523851.3%122 W · 116 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe16…60bebacked New York Mets59c67.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409761.9%60 W · 37 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Atlanta Braves60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6746759.7%279 W · 188 L+2.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a0a…75acbacked Atlanta Braves62c64.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5246546%214 W · 251 L-17.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c49…1862backed Atlanta Braves62c64.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5235353.8%190 W · 163 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x540e…263dbacked Atlanta Braves50c63.58$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.792450%12 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e62…79f1backed Atlanta Braves59c61.97$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4142047.9%201 W · 219 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Atlanta Braves48c61.35$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6450954%275 W · 234 L+15.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed New York Mets36c61.13$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.013,84142.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0098…71e0backed Atlanta Braves60c60.62$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2515252%79 W · 73 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Atlanta Braves64c59.73$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.622,31052.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L+27.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Atlanta Braves68c58$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5653950.6%273 W · 266 L+16.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked New York Mets32c58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5629647.3%140 W · 156 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabf6…129dbacked New York Mets38c55.26$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2117037.6%64 W · 106 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdef6…d18fbacked Atlanta Braves62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3945348.6%220 W · 233 L-13.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a73…1c47backed Atlanta Braves50c45.44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.684839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdcdd…6d55backed Atlanta Braves59c44.71$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.339058.9%53 W · 37 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed New York Mets68c44$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.928,59452.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L+508.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Atlanta Braves59c43.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.737747.2%178 W · 199 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Atlanta Braves49c43$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8431848.7%155 W · 163 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Atlanta Braves28c43$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.963,46051.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L+107.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Atlanta Braves59c39.44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0651555.7%287 W · 228 L+19.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Atlanta Braves62c35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.352852.1%275 W · 253 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d3…5639backed Atlanta Braves60c32.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0520654.4%112 W · 94 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9280…4d46backed Atlanta Braves63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.752958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71ac…5fd6backed Atlanta Braves49c31.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.873458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5587…6d07backed Atlanta Braves65c30.95$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9551656.6%292 W · 224 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde43…0bd7backed Atlanta Braves59c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.34452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked Atlanta Braves59c27.92$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3726753.9%144 W · 123 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Atlanta Braves61c22.95$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9589950.6%455 W · 444 L-24.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Atlanta Braves59c22.08$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0554152.1%282 W · 259 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed Atlanta Braves62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.616274.1%120 W · 42 L+9.6wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab41…822dbacked Atlanta Braves60c17.67$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.077955.7%44 W · 35 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb5…8353backed New York Mets64c17.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.892356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed New York Mets74c16.01$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.892,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.