MLB · resolved market
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bf581219ae4a1b054fcfaf9a1913c393fcc1b0489156441ae0be916887c44eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof New York Mets, Atlanta Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed New York Mets | 41c | 96,077$38,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,930.73 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 28,410$15,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,586.51 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Braves | 59c | 18,946$11,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,689.91 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 8,952$5,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,580.8 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 8,110$4,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,282.88 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed New York Mets | 53c | 8,008$4,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,279.59 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 7,991$4,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,156.62 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 7,582$4,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,032.36 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked New York Mets | 41c | 7,500$3,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,075 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Braves | 59c | 6,475$3,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,654.73 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked New York Mets | 39c | 6,147$2,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397.36 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Atlanta Braves | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 4,155$2,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.88 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves | 39c | 3,447$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,097.31 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Atlanta Braves | 39c | 2,853$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.16 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 1,698$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.33 | 657 | 49.2%323 W · 334 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 1,646$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.35 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 1,473$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.16 | 926 | 45.9%425 W · 501 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Atlanta Braves | 59c | 1,108$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.28 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Atlanta Braves | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 901.63$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.65 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 819.68$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.87 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 784.74$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.2 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 780$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Atlanta Braves | 59c | 712$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.92 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Atlanta Braves | 60c | 617$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.43 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 543.26$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.97 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Atlanta Braves | 59c | 504.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.24 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Atlanta Braves | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 134 | 38.8%52 W · 82 L | -12.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Atlanta Braves | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Mets | 38c | 495.5$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.29 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 495.02$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.01 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 491.9$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.76 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked New York Mets | 38c | 463$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.94 | 736 | 50.7%373 W · 363 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed New York Mets | 37c | 360.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.57 | 411 | 41.4%170 W · 241 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 299$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Mets | 66c | 299$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.34 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Atlanta Braves | 59c | 240$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 416 | 37.5%156 W · 260 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Atlanta Braves | 62c | 200.04$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.02 | 274 | 54.4%149 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…0adfbacked Atlanta Braves | 60c | 189.42$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.77 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Atlanta Braves | 61c | 179.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.9 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Atlanta Braves | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…605cbacked Atlanta Braves | 59c | 149.15$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 132.04$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.66 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Atlanta Braves | 64c | 125.77$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.77 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 121.88$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.88 | 516 | 46.9%242 W · 274 L | -21.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked New York Mets | 43c | 119.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.59 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 112.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Atlanta Braves | 58c | 102.87$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 98.77$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed New York Mets | 37c | 92.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Atlanta Braves | 59c | 81.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.27 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 77.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc29f…dc4ebacked Atlanta Braves | 60c | 75.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 75.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Atlanta Braves | 59c | 74.29$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 1,278 | 57%728 W · 550 L | +33.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Atlanta Braves | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 476 | 46.2%220 W · 256 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 70.57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb9…40d7backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 67.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…60bebacked New York Mets | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 467 | 59.7%279 W · 188 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…75acbacked Atlanta Braves | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 465 | 46%214 W · 251 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c49…1862backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 353 | 53.8%190 W · 163 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540e…263dbacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 63.58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Atlanta Braves | 59c | 61.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 61.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 509 | 54%275 W · 234 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed New York Mets | 36c | 61.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0098…71e0backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 60.62$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Atlanta Braves | 64c | 59.73$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Atlanta Braves | 68c | 58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked New York Mets | 32c | 58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 296 | 47.3%140 W · 156 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked New York Mets | 38c | 55.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdef6…d18fbacked Atlanta Braves | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 453 | 48.6%220 W · 233 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a73…1c47backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 45.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…6d55backed Atlanta Braves | 59c | 44.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed New York Mets | 68c | 44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Atlanta Braves | 59c | 43.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Atlanta Braves | 28c | 43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Atlanta Braves | 59c | 39.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 32.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 206 | 54.4%112 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9280…4d46backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 31.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Atlanta Braves | 65c | 30.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 516 | 56.6%292 W · 224 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde43…0bd7backed Atlanta Braves | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Atlanta Braves | 59c | 27.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 267 | 53.9%144 W · 123 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Atlanta Braves | 61c | 22.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Atlanta Braves | 59c | 22.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 162 | 74.1%120 W · 42 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…822dbacked Atlanta Braves | 60c | 17.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb5…8353backed New York Mets | 64c | 17.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed New York Mets | 74c | 16.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)this page
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta BravesNew York Mets won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 11.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 12.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 13.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 15.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Atlanta BravesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.