MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacb4151d834575d57e938d851d1746a9e0fed6367df08c959103d9f49e9c48e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 44c | 10,553$4,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,591.28 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 56c | 3,948$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.17 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Under | 64c | 2,361$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 36c | 2,059$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.12 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Under | 62c | 2,001$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.61 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 43c | 1,902$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.5 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 56c | 1,875$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.5 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d621backed Under | 61c | 1,633$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 58c | 1,552$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.39 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 55c | 1,522$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.1 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 58c | 1,379$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b1…83a0backed Over | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 38c | 1,044$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.21 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…28eabacked Under | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 45c | 1,024$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.2 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Over | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 61c | 964.91$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.6 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 64c | 891$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.64 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 42c | 831.98$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.06 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…8d7dbacked Over | 43c | 583.72$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.72 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 38c | 538$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.56 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 33c | 475.44$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.95 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 45c | 374.75$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.11 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 56c | 354$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.4 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 7c | 303.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 54c | 288.25$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.59 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 64c | 281.25$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 299 | 50.5%151 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Over | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc28…ede2backed Under | 53c | 229.29$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.25 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 46c | 206.98$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.22 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…724dbacked Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Over | 37c | 199.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.99 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 59c | 198.85$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.39 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 58c | 163.27$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.15 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47f4…936bbacked Under | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…bf96backed Over | 43c | 153.49$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.49 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 32c | 125.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 40c | 120$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 66c | 118$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 56c | 113.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.78 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 43c | 108.51$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.85 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Over | 46c | 107.76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.62 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 68c | 105.27$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.97 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 43c | 101.05$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 54c | 100.16$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.74 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked Over | 61c | 93$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 45c | 90.55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 264 | 38.3%101 W · 163 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 82.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…0b3bbacked Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Over | 42c | 66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 59c | 65.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 43c | 65.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.51 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…0073backed Over | 41c | 65.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 56c | 65.61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 44c | 62.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 44c | 57.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 44c | 50.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a86…4eebbacked Over | 49c | 50.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 44c | 50.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8c…654bbacked Over | 41c | 47.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd1…ed4bbacked Under | 62c | 46.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7160…cce2backed Under | 62c | 45.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -5.4wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…18c6backed Under | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa662…c8adbacked Under | 51c | 41.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f46…7a71backed Over | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eba…a2b8backed Under | 62c | 38.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1f…a7d2backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 33c | 35.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 474 | 46.6%221 W · 253 L | +26.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 37c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 43c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4c…72a3backed Under | 62c | 32.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…8fe9backed Under | 56c | 32.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Over | 41c | 31.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a8…0189backed Under | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…5ff8backed Under | 62c | 30.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…cc31backed Under | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 50c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb430…efc9backed Under | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x326d…3584backed Over | 62c | 16.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -13.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5this page
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta BravesNew York Mets won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 11.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 12.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 13.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 15.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Atlanta BravesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.