MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee18e2be3e48b1561811f5be46773447f590de5e44ed8a540dd27d15a9f08dd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof Philadelphia Phillies, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $591,019
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $622,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $591,019 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 254 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 193,181$85,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,999.55 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 111,111$62,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,888.84 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe54…41d6backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 88,000$50,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,089.99 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 36,836$15,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,471 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 34c | 27,577$9,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,292.21 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 25,566$15,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,530.61 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,599.99 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 17,675$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 17,287$9,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,606.28 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Philadelphia Phillies | 0c | 13,212$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 12,518$5,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,983.45 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 11,426$4,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,798.83 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 21c | 9,866$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.93 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 8,698$4,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,827.23 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 8,145$4,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,421.05 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 7,660$3,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,324.87 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Philadelphia Phillies | 0c | 7,600$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 7,237$4,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,184.08 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 7,027$3,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,091.42 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 6,244$2,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,684.92 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 5,358$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.52 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 16c | 4,993$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.07 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 19c | 4,193$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.68 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b68…08bbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 3,749$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 3,500$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.99 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 3,367$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.75 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 3,131$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.69 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 2,900$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 2,797$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.66 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 2,627$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.3 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 2,556$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.64 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 33c | 2,152$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.11 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 2,075$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.57 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Philadelphia Phillies | 4c | 1,980$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.98 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 1,883$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.06 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 1,820$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 1,819$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.78 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 1,749$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.54 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 1,540$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.91 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…7850backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 1,538$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.5 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 1,408$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.46 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 1,141$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.97 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 1,109$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.87 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5400…8a89backed Philadelphia Phillies | 3c | 1,057$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 1.5%1 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 999.9$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.53 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 928.62$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.45 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 847.99$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.64 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Philadelphia Phillies | 10c | 838$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.31 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 812.89$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.69 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 798$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.14 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 751.13$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.49 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeac6…4ac7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 749.73$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.89 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…2dafbacked Cincinnati Reds | 34c | 699.98$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cincinnati Reds | 78c | 664.86$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.31 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 581$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.83 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 578.46$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.07 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 16c | 574.23$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.62 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 552.73$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.73 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e0…826dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3824backed Philadelphia Phillies | 26c | 529.91$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 517.35$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.53 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 505$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.16 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 34c | 499.97$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 446$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.24 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b5…7e9abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 359.09$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.41 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 349.72$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.72 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 329.78$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.36 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 319.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…8f92backed Cincinnati Reds | 67c | 298.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 144 | 69.4%100 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Cincinnati Reds | 75c | 297.01$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.92 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 295.36$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.68 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cincinnati Reds | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5a…9d75backed Philadelphia Phillies | 7c | 285.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 15.2%16 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 280$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 28c | 274.39$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.83 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 272.5$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.9 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 270.14$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.86 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 269.82$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.11 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 259.2$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.58 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 258.31$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.94 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 249.98$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.39 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 245.13$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 240$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 236$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.4 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 230$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 227.67$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.45 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 224$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.32 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898c…b48fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 220$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 218$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.74 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 210.24$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.02 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 206.58$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.9 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 13.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 15.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 16.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-4.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati RedsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.