NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ce89f87fa4c39282f6a9b10d6d3bc52954a4d528994a4f7f715f352be2fb82a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,153,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,212,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,153,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 601 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Spurs | 50c | 285,000$142,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142,500 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Thunder | 50c | 186,928$92,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93,994.13 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Spurs | 49c | 100,000$48,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,599.93 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Thunder | 52c | 91,218$47,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,784.62 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Thunder | 53c | 82,220$43,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,587.85 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Spurs | 49c | 73,725$35,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,957.93 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Spurs | 48c | 70,100$33,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,647.99 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Spurs | 45c | 60,179$27,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,101.36 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Thunder | 50c | 60,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,000 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Spurs | 47c | 60,000$28,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,199.98 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Thunder | 50c | 56,242$28,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,121 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Thunder | 55c | 45,000$24,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,249.99 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Spurs | 47c | 42,553$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Spurs | 47c | 38,227$17,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,794.6 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Thunder | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Spurs | 53c | 25,800$13,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,673.9 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Thunder | 52c | 25,216$13,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,052.6 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Thunder | 53c | 25,000$13,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,750 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Thunder | 51c | 22,484$11,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,097.88 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spurs | 49c | 20,097$9,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,821.4 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Thunder | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Spurs | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,599.98 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Thunder | 52c | 19,300$10,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,264 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 54c | 17,357$9,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,038.41 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…49debacked Thunder | 53c | 15,362$8,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,220.14 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Spurs | 51c | 13,725$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Thunder | 51c | 13,448$6,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,649.7 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Thunder | 52c | 13,080$6,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,278.4 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Thunder | 54c | 10,832$5,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,982.57 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3280…ea74backed Spurs | 47c | 10,638$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 95 | 31.6%30 W · 65 L | -11.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 50c | 9,942$4,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,002.47 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Spurs | 47c | 8,000$3,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,760 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed Spurs | 46c | 7,149$3,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,288.48 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Thunder | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Thunder | 49c | 6,874$3,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,505.57 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Thunder | 52c | 6,686$3,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,190.44 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Thunder | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.98 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…4fcfbacked Spurs | 49c | 5,964$2,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,901.9 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…1a59backed Thunder | 54c | 5,462$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,512.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs | 50c | 5,225$2,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,633.05 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Thunder | 54c | 5,220$2,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.2 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Thunder | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 52c | 4,930$2,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,354.44 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Thunder | 54c | 4,352$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.08 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3af…3f9cbacked Spurs | 51c | 4,314$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99aa…6c5abacked Thunder | 55c | 4,171$2,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Spurs | 46c | 4,130$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Thunder | 54c | 4,098$2,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,896.1 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…8898backed Thunder | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Thunder | 54c | 3,996$2,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.19 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Spurs | 48c | 3,860$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.83 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…12c3backed Thunder | 55c | 3,751$2,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.78 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +7.1wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Thunder | 54c | 3,562$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.62 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Spurs | 48c | 3,500$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.99 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Spurs | 48c | 3,500$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.99 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Thunder | 53c | 3,476$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.83 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Spurs | 48c | 3,418$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.81 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Thunder | 49c | 3,400$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.21 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc43c…e9e8backed Thunder | 54c | 3,187$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.79 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Thunder | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Spurs | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Thunder | 49c | 2,919$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.59 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Spurs | 48c | 2,918$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.23 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 46c | 2,871$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.84 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Thunder | 47c | 2,806$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.23 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Thunder | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.33 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Thunder | 55c | 2,718$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.92 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Thunder | 55c | 2,696$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.56 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Spurs | 47c | 2,637$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.29 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Spurs | 48c | 2,511$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.16 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Thunder | 53c | 2,468$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.3 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Thunder | 52c | 2,464$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.55 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33d0…f7ebbacked Spurs | 48c | 2,430$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.39 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -10.1wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Spurs | 50c | 2,268$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.38 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Thunder | 54c | 2,008$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.71 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Spurs | 48c | 2,000$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959 | 131 | 28.2%37 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Thunder | 66c | 2,000$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.65 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Spurs | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Thunder | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Spurs | 51c | 1,960$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Thunder | 51c | 1,955$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.31 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Thunder | 47c | 1,859$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.8 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Thunder | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…44a6backed Thunder | 54c | 1,851$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.61 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Spurs | 50c | 1,851$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.74 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…fa68backed Spurs | 42c | 1,759$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Thunder | 52c | 1,733$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.99 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Spurs | 48c | 1,661$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.04 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Thunder | 51c | 1,592$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.08 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Thunder | 54c | 1,588$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.47 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Thunder | 49c | 1,531$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.61 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Thunder | 51c | 1,506$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.82 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Spurs | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 0%0 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Thunder | 55c | 1,461$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.17 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82f2…27d4backed Thunder | 59c | 1,383$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.58 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +8.9wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Thunder | 49c | 1,362$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.35 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Thunder | 61c | 1,344$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.5 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Thunder | 53c | 1,320$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.62 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Spurs | 59c | 1,237$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.83 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Spurs | 28c | 1,185$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.66 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spurs vs. ThunderThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.