NBA · resolved market
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bede901e8143bab8216366699025978fd19afee2aec671c13a453031ddb0190
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,270
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,270 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea3d…524dbacked Yes | 53c | 5,545$2,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,588.14 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd105…7b2cbacked Yes | 53c | 4,609$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,148.83 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +8.7wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +97%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Yes | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.99 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed No | 45c | 3,522$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.74 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 47c | 2,614$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.56 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9024…1314backed No | 48c | 2,371$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 48c | 2,107$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.45 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 48c | 1,400$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc04…1c43backed Yes | 53c | 1,377$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.36 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a9…e2dbbacked Yes | 52c | 1,342$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.58 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed No | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 131 | 61.8%81 W · 50 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Yes | 50c | 1,112$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.49 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 49c | 999.75$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.95 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…d944backed Yes | 53c | 963.59$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.89 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…2640backed Yes | 53c | 700$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Yes | 51c | 674.8$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.65 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…7f76backed No | 50c | 607.3$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.65 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked No | 47c | 587.98$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.35 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed No | 50c | 517.88$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.94 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe299…761bbacked Yes | 51c | 499.99$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.99 | 315 | 40.3%127 W · 188 L | -15.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…920fbacked Yes | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c5…3d6fbacked No | 54c | 296.57$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Yes | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Yes | 50c | 291.28$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.26 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…e8bdbacked Yes | 46c | 252.15$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.26 | 330 | 49.1%162 W · 168 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x291d…2f8bbacked Yes | 50c | 249.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed No | 47c | 240$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.8 | 437 | 52.6%230 W · 207 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…c60dbacked No | 50c | 229.75$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Yes | 54c | 214.11$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.49 | 400 | 53.5%214 W · 186 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…2c8abacked No | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed No | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed No | 47c | 199.15$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.47 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe538…c28bbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +7.1wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed No | 48c | 187.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Yes | 52c | 186.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.63 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd731…64a6backed No | 59c | 183.28$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…d3fdbacked No | 47c | 159$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.73 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 49c | 141.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 300 | 55.7%167 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1f…c7c0backed Yes | 51c | 138.42$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…8a76backed Yes | 45c | 135.19$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.35 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4651…8da8backed No | 49c | 130.43$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.28 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bc…42c1backed No | 47c | 128$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 47c | 124$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked No | 50c | 122$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed No | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16f8…31e9backed Yes | 53c | 117.81$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed No | 52c | 110.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.71 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed Yes | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed No | 50c | 105$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 361 | 53.5%193 W · 168 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Yes | 50c | 104$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 49c | 102.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf35e…f846backed No | 49c | 101.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd424…bf7bbacked Yes | 55c | 101.82$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 188 | 53.7%101 W · 87 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff2…5b93backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 305 | 44.6%136 W · 169 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…b331backed Yes | 50c | 99.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 398 | 64.3%256 W · 142 L | +33.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed No | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed No | 47c | 99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…8528backed No | 47c | 96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…d269backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6b…80bfbacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed Yes | 55c | 91.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 50c | 87.6$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3893…8afbbacked Yes | 52c | 87.12$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +9.5wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Yes | 53c | 77.44$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 153 | 51%78 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed Yes | 53c | 75.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -14.9wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…da96backed Yes | 54c | 73.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd755…61a1backed Yes | 25c | 71.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.83 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 50c | 71.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…0073backed Yes | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Yes | 37c | 69.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed No | 49c | 67.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 193 | 52.8%102 W · 91 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked No | 47c | 64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 400 | 48.3%193 W · 207 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Yes | 47c | 63.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +19.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Yes | 51c | 59.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28b3…08e3backed No | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920e…7873backed No | 53c | 56.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…5095backed No | 48c | 52.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed No | 47c | 48.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 200 | 40%80 W · 120 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b73…e9f3backed Yes | 50c | 45.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…bdb5backed Yes | 53c | 44.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…96f4backed No | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c39…d10bbacked Yes | 58c | 43.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x903e…2829backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…c512backed No | 46c | 40.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…f481backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ad…9e5fbacked Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 346 | 61.6%213 W · 133 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 56c | 36.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 42c | 33.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac6c…d0d4backed Yes | 55c | 32.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spurs vs. ThunderThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.