TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$107,222
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,957

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,222 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xabb8…bba3backed Under58c15,173$8,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,800.4417251.7%89 W · 83 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under58c14,328$8,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,332.086,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over41c9,664$3,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,701.5435744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under51c6,248$3,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,186.4834255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c5,722$2,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,854.851,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Under56c4,522$2,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,532.094761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over48c4,167$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.677963.3%50 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over42c4,138$1,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,407.074,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over55c3,670$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,669.5324159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over55c3,251$1,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,477.21,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Over42c3,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,74010248%49 W · 53 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Over54c3,000$1,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.9512741.7%53 W · 74 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over43c2,743$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,562.5864948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over44c2,711$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,518.1648352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36a7…b6e9backed Over41c2,598$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.64666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+52.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over42c2,537$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,471.5125352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Under59c2,500$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,474.991968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+27.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over59c2,202$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.8452461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over54c2,200$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.5793148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Over41c2,092$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.1828643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c2,067$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.218,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over44c1,918$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.7455251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Over47c1,836$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97334456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under45c1,756$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.031,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Under60c1,666$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00018853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over41c1,582$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.866352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under53c1,543$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.891,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over49c1,448$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.4369848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under45c1,247$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.2761638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under51c1,237$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.991,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over49c1,117$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.4356646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45b5…2d74backed Over53c1,094$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.496543.1%28 W · 37 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Over42c1,071$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.412951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Over50c1,053$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.0810049%49 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under50c1,036$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.6289850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Over42c833.31$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.324358.1%25 W · 18 L+6.8wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+53.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over42c776.15$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.41,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under57c705.56$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.1768838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under58c639.2$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.9762051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under48c559.97$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.983,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Over43c552.64$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.0417247.7%82 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under34c528.73$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.881,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Over43c524.99$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.243737.8%14 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9333…4100backed Under57c505.19$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.042,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28550346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3914…3db9backed Under48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-44%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc789…7972backed Over44c459.09$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.0916146.6%75 W · 86 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdea…6951backed Under45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020434.8%71 W · 133 L+0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under47c404.08$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.5390650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under47c391.03$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.7132045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under44c360.32$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.7542842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under47c353.06$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.8963746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23e4…e501backed Over44c340.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.913557.1%20 W · 15 L+4.9wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+29.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d6f…7135backed Under55c321.72$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.716144.3%27 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under59c303.86$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.2815759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Over42c275$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.5683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+56.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2342…12d6backed Over42c238.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.362948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under4c232$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.072,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under46c217.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9961151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Under48c211.23$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5422143.4%96 W · 125 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over41c210.56$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.641,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Under33c209.65$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7018534.1%63 W · 122 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd190…e445backed Under61c207.8$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.763756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under52c202$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.642,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11660049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed Under59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1186645.5%30 W · 36 L-9.3wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-27.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10018850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb238…4961backed Under53c199.98$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.992832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under56c191.06$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10725651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe80f…b81bbacked Over79c189.87$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.877562.7%47 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over41c188.2$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.351,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed Over42c185.19$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.619958.6%58 W · 41 L+9.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under58c181.9$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.51,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under43c180$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.151,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Under56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Under57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under48c173.8$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.3927245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under47c173$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3110941.3%45 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Under35c172.49$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3720247.5%96 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over54c171.96$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6560250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked Under57c170$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.95829.3%17 W · 41 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under52c163.25$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.152053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2d6…f190backed Under57c157.89$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick43cpaid+29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Under47c155.32$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7362744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…ea68backed Under49c155$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.954037.5%15 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39af…39babacked Over42c133.29$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Under22c129.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.635532.4%115 W · 240 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over42c128.24$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.386233.9%21 W · 41 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Under60c115.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5918651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over41c111.62$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.8678648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79c…94eabacked Over40c102.5$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.53452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under47c100.17$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4745445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Under46c100.08$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0410746.7%50 W · 57 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Under41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4144345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Under53c99.84$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.926152.5%32 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab4…5a40backed Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0410757%61 W · 46 L+15.3wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+26.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf9f3…51f6backed Over55c95.75$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2be3…5c4bbacked Over48c93.75$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.752330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.