NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e8e4018a32fe4fd7adf1d47ce7ebb49c138f94cb460e6cd0ddcaf885b910054
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Under | 58c | 15,173$8,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,800.44 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 58c | 14,328$8,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,332.08 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Over | 41c | 9,664$3,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,701.54 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 51c | 6,248$3,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,186.48 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 5,722$2,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,854.85 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Under | 56c | 4,522$2,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,532.09 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.67 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 42c | 4,138$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,407.07 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 55c | 3,670$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.53 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 55c | 3,251$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.2 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Over | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked Over | 54c | 3,000$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.95 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 43c | 2,743$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.58 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 44c | 2,711$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.16 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a7…b6e9backed Over | 41c | 2,598$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 42c | 2,537$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.51 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Under | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.99 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 59c | 2,202$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.84 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 54c | 2,200$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.57 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Over | 41c | 2,092$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.18 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 2,067$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.21 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 44c | 1,918$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.74 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Over | 47c | 1,836$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 45c | 1,756$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.03 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Under | 60c | 1,666$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 41c | 1,582$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.8 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 53c | 1,543$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.89 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 49c | 1,448$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.43 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 45c | 1,247$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.27 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 51c | 1,237$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.99 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 49c | 1,117$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.43 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Over | 53c | 1,094$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.49 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Over | 42c | 1,071$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.41 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Over | 50c | 1,053$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.08 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 50c | 1,036$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.62 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Over | 42c | 833.31$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.32 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +6.8wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 42c | 776.15$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.4 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 57c | 705.56$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.17 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 58c | 639.2$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.97 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 48c | 559.97$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.98 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Over | 43c | 552.64$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.04 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 34c | 528.73$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.88 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Over | 43c | 524.99$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.24 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9333…4100backed Under | 57c | 505.19$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.04 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3914…3db9backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…7972backed Over | 44c | 459.09$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.09 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdea…6951backed Under | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 204 | 34.8%71 W · 133 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 47c | 404.08$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.53 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 47c | 391.03$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.71 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 44c | 360.32$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.75 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 47c | 353.06$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.89 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e4…e501backed Over | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6f…7135backed Under | 55c | 321.72$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.71 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 59c | 303.86$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.28 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Over | 42c | 275$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…12d6backed Over | 42c | 238.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.36 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 4c | 232$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 46c | 217.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 48c | 211.23$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.54 | 221 | 43.4%96 W · 125 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 41c | 210.56$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.64 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Under | 33c | 209.65$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 185 | 34.1%63 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd190…e445backed Under | 61c | 207.8$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.76 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 52c | 202$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.64 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -9.3wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 188 | 50.5%95 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…4961backed Under | 53c | 199.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 56c | 191.06$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 256 | 51.2%131 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…b81bbacked Over | 79c | 189.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 41c | 188.2$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.35 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Over | 42c | 185.19$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.61 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 58c | 181.9$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.5 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 43c | 180$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.15 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 48c | 173.8$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.39 | 272 | 45.6%124 W · 148 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 47c | 173$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.31 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Under | 35c | 172.49$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.37 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 54c | 171.96$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.65 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Under | 57c | 170$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 52c | 163.25$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.1 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d6…f190backed Under | 57c | 157.89$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Under | 47c | 155.32$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…ea68backed Under | 49c | 155$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.95 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39af…39babacked Over | 42c | 133.29$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Under | 22c | 129.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 355 | 32.4%115 W · 240 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 42c | 128.24$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Under | 60c | 115.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.59 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 41c | 111.62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.86 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…94eabacked Over | 40c | 102.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 47c | 100.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Under | 46c | 100.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Under | 53c | 99.84$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +15.3wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f3…51f6backed Over | 55c | 95.75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be3…5c4bbacked Over | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spurs vs. ThunderThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.