NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a4e36a4e22afd7b5993018538728e8520fb1aeb771fe4c088f2ad9602a9d5e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $689,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $699,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $689,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 304 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Thunder | 54c | 302,029$163,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138,966.86 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Spurs | 46c | 250,000$115,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114,999.93 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Spurs | 46c | 125,254$57,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,601.52 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Spurs | 42c | 39,549$16,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,706.2 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Thunder | 57c | 34,032$19,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,769.44 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x293e…4717backed Thunder | 60c | 33,449$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,448.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spurs | 46c | 25,734$11,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,888.29 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Thunder | 54c | 20,283$10,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,330.31 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Thunder | 54c | 20,283$10,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,330.31 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Spurs | 42c | 17,112$7,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,138.33 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Thunder | 53c | 16,650$8,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,870.87 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Thunder | 58c | 13,808$8,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,799.18 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Spurs | 41c | 9,756$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 42c | 9,524$4,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,021.42 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Thunder | 56c | 8,493$4,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,745.51 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…4742backed Thunder | 54c | 8,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 57c | 7,717$4,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,288.04 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Thunder | 53c | 6,689$3,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,144.06 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca9…ea67backed Spurs | 47c | 6,624$3,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,113.51 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Spurs | 43c | 6,500$2,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,809.99 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0de…8048backed Thunder | 56c | 6,250$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Thunder | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Spurs | 43c | 5,900$2,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,551.75 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Spurs | 43c | 5,264$2,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,270.13 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Spurs | 43c | 5,000$2,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145.84 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Spurs | 41c | 4,982$2,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,042.79 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Spurs | 46c | 4,500$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Thunder | 53c | 4,464$2,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.64 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs | 40c | 4,411$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765.1 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Thunder | 51c | 3,765$1,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.38 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Thunder | 53c | 3,618$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.59 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Spurs | 44c | 3,580$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.2 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Thunder | 74c | 3,384$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.99 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Spurs | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.99 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Thunder | 57c | 2,800$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Spurs | 43c | 2,791$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.29 | 163 | 35.6%58 W · 105 L | -12.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Spurs | 44c | 2,724$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.67 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Thunder | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.21 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Thunder | 54c | 2,492$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.61 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Spurs | 7c | 2,180$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.6 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Spurs | 42c | 2,143$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.06 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…d944backed Thunder | 50c | 2,100$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.5 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Spurs | 44c | 2,003$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.27 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Spurs | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8452…cc80backed Thunder | 55c | 1,932$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Thunder | 56c | 1,875$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Thunder | 54c | 1,848$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.19 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Thunder | 55c | 1,752$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.4 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs | 32c | 1,724$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.76 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Spurs | 43c | 1,571$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.88 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Spurs | 43c | 1,527$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.04 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Thunder | 52c | 1,315$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.52 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Spurs | 26c | 1,302$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.68 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Thunder | 58c | 1,293$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.1 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Spurs | 43c | 1,246$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.46 | 689 | 44%303 W · 386 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x246d…c74dbacked Thunder | 60c | 1,215$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Spurs | 45c | 1,196$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.2 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Thunder | 53c | 1,156$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.45 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Spurs | 45c | 1,152$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.11 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Thunder | 74c | 1,127$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.79 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 40c | 1,079$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.35 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Spurs | 43c | 1,072$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.98 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Spurs | 45c | 1,071$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.42 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Thunder | 55c | 1,065$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.84 | 348 | 50.9%177 W · 171 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac15…dd90backed Thunder | 57c | 1,037$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.86 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Spurs | 42c | 1,037$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.53 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Spurs | 39c | 1,031$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Spurs | 44c | 1,023$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs | 45c | 1,010$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.2 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Spurs | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 131 | 28.2%37 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Thunder | 55c | 999.03$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.94 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a75…fc33backed Thunder | 57c | 972.74$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Thunder | 53c | 944.18$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.27 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Spurs | 44c | 920$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.8 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Thunder | 52c | 904.98$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.24 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Thunder | 55c | 899.95$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.61 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed Thunder | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…0c42backed Spurs | 45c | 853.91$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.26 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Thunder | 52c | 811.42$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.48 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Spurs | 43c | 800.1$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.27 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Thunder | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Spurs | 44c | 795.43$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +6.8wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Spurs | 46c | 734.61$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.13 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Spurs | 37c | 719.99$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.92 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +217.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Thunder | 56c | 714.53$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.59 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…728abacked Thunder | 57c | 700$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Spurs | 45c | 686.44$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.9 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Spurs | 44c | 676.62$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.71 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…650cbacked Spurs | 37c | 670.64$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.77 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x210a…1080backed Spurs | 26c | 630.35$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.45 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Spurs | 50c | 624$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…519dbacked Thunder | 57c | 617.54$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.54 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Thunder | 54c | 612.57$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.12 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…00bcbacked Thunder | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e0…ffbebacked Spurs | 34c | 584.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6febbacked Spurs | 44c | 569$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.36 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Spurs | 54c | 556.79$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed Thunder | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Spurs | 47c | 536.69$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.24 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Thunder | 56c | 532.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.99 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spurs vs. ThunderThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.