NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa636103caa342780d3a7db851be424950534160f15de9052a9a500752f266562
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $196,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $200,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Under | 0c | 75,099$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.1 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 45c | 32,684$14,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,544.54 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 47c | 20,156$9,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,473.46 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 56c | 16,696$9,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,363.48 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Over | 53c | 12,000$6,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,640 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 54c | 10,738$5,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,888.34 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Under | 45c | 5,699$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,564.56 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 46c | 4,724$2,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,172.93 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Over | 54c | 4,605$2,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,118.42 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 62c | 4,107$2,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.52 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.94 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 56c | 3,545$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.21 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa13b…60c0backed Over | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.77 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 2,704$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.76 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 76c | 2,512$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.62 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 56c | 2,177$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.65 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 55c | 2,124$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.47 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 18c | 1,984$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.73 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 1,600$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.33 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 42c | 1,534$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.08 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Under | 48c | 1,518$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.48 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Over | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 52c | 1,302$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.11 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 55c | 1,157$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.41 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 44c | 1,155$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.28 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 55c | 1,054$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.91 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Over | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.63 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Over | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.48 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 42c | 1,000$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.29 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 26c | 996.28$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.66 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Under | 25c | 963.73$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.18 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked Under | 46c | 931.02$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.27 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Under | 43c | 929.8$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.98 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Under | 48c | 922$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.56 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 19c | 897.81$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.06 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…28d2backed Over | 54c | 826.72$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.72 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 55c | 792.74$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.73 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 773.92$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.74 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ee…5506backed Under | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…719bbacked Over | 58c | 727.03$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.35 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 253 | 60.1%152 W · 101 L | +26.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 46c | 633.87$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.47 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 64c | 603$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.48 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 56c | 593.31$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.06 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1252…e6e0backed Over | 54c | 553.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.5 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Over | 55c | 548.89$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.89 | 236 | 52.5%124 W · 112 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Over | 53c | 547.17$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.17 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 46c | 458.2$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.54 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 42c | 431.61$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.28 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 27c | 400.46$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 24c | 379$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.96 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 57c | 375.44$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.44 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Under | 13c | 370$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…a8f5backed Over | 80c | 357.92$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.26 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…a86fbacked Over | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…9179backed Over | 58c | 312$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e90…a79ebacked Over | 60c | 303.02$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.2 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…b89abacked Over | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 40c | 251.52$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.34 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc6…7ce4backed Under | 24c | 242$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.07 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 40c | 240.53$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.21 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3a…90a4backed Over | 59c | 238.98$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 42c | 232.36$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.59 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…12d6backed Under | 44c | 226.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Over | 69c | 215.83$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.83 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb19…60e6backed Over | 59c | 203.36$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.38 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6281…e326backed Under | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…cd5cbacked Over | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8983…d301backed Over | 59c | 196.42$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.53 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 41c | 175$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.75 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Over | 57c | 170$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.1 | 479 | 48.6%233 W · 246 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4642…21d3backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Under | 45c | 166.16$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.62 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked Under | 46c | 164.44$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Under | 45c | 156.42$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.57 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d970backed Over | 54c | 131.85$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.65 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…bec3backed Over | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 56c | 124.96$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.67 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 37c | 124.66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 46c | 124$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 117.69$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.29 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 44c | 114.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 42c | 113.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Over | 53c | 110$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 40c | 105.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 58c | 102$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e7…cbeebacked Over | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe290…7fb0backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…8ea4backed Over | 52c | 97.6$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7817…8812backed Over | 51c | 92.23$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.19 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 346 | 61.6%213 W · 133 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…3f87backed Over | 55c | 85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.45 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…81a3backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Over | 60c | 81.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 48c | 78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 221 | 43.4%96 W · 125 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spurs vs. ThunderThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.