Premier League · resolved market
Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fbaf09d4fe19a7996a4c7f44a8ef6a06029b7441b4f5c8d469a07b47a17b6c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $267,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $275,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $267,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed Over | 53c | 80,478$42,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,001.95 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 57c | 50,000$28,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,299.97 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 23,735$10,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,717.52 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 45c | 20,163$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,999.78 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 46c | 11,422$5,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,233.15 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Under | 48c | 9,770$4,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,689.6 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over | 53c | 7,500$3,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,525 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.7wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x48e0…826dbacked Over | 50c | 7,100$3,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,534 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 7,093$3,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,328.31 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 47c | 6,400$3,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,008 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8c…3d1abacked Over | 47c | 6,329$2,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,354.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under | 42c | 6,261$2,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,652.37 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 136 | 30.9%42 W · 94 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.96 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 48c | 5,635$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,680.47 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…89debacked Over | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 47c | 4,800$2,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,256 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 55c | 4,733$2,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.85 | 107 | 65.4%70 W · 37 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 44c | 4,555$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.83 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Under | 47c | 4,229$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4939…9adebacked Under | 47c | 4,211$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed Under | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 48c | 4,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.97 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 42c | 3,236$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.38 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 47c | 2,984$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.86 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 2,955$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.68 | 578 | 47.8%276 W · 302 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.27 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 2,676$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.06 | 755 | 42.3%319 W · 436 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 47c | 2,600$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.96 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa74…d98bbacked Under | 48c | 2,419$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 47c | 2,400$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff93…1239backed Under | 48c | 2,392$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 47c | 2,368$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.96 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 47c | 2,203$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.44 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 48c | 2,152$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.8 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 49c | 1,886$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.92 | 152 | 55.9%85 W · 67 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 47c | 1,600$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752 | 170 | 62.4%106 W · 64 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 47c | 1,600$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 1,369$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.46 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Under | 16c | 1,356$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.8 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over | 50c | 1,242$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.12 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Under | 46c | 1,192$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +118.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 42c | 1,143$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Under | 49c | 1,135$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.33 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Over | 55c | 1,091$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed Under | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 42c | 1,046$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.44 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 47c | 1,040$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.8 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 47c | 1,040$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.8 | 138 | 55.1%76 W · 62 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 179 | 59.8%107 W · 72 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Over | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.99 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…bc18backed Under | 42c | 952.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 48c | 900$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 48c | 900$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 48c | 857.57$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.63 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.35per pick | 56cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Under | 48c | 857.57$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 42c | 844.93$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.99 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Under | 44c | 830.25$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.82 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Under | 74c | 800$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Over | 54c | 787.87$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.42 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under | 46c | 765$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.9 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 42c | 750$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 745$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.15 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 54c | 701.58$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.73 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 42c | 700$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 232 | 58.2%135 W · 97 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 55c | 677$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.65 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 44c | 657.87$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.77 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 47c | 649.89$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.45 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 47c | 640$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.8 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 53c | 637.67$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.55 | 329 | 51.4%169 W · 160 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 47c | 624$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.28 | 146 | 58.2%85 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 47c | 624$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.28 | 138 | 58.7%81 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 52c | 616.54$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.83 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1c…5f43backed Over | 46c | 590$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Over | 55c | 576.36$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.36 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…aea3backed Under | 52c | 574.66$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 47c | 560$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.2 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Under | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…064bbacked Under | 45c | 531.57$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.02 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x716e…bcc2backed Under | 47c | 516$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…cba6backed Over | 50c | 507$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 52c | 470.98$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.07 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 52c | 462.56$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.56 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 47c | 457.72$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.13 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 50c | 453.05$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.81 | 812 | 34.7%282 W · 530 L | -24.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Over | 54c | 451.06$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.49 | 152 | 33.6%51 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 401.93$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.63 | 553 | 51.9%287 W · 266 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Under | 47c | 401.72$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Over | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 56c | 396.98$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.18 | 541 | 32.9%178 W · 363 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.