Premier League · resolved market
Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41fb7154036fea143ca672ce0df470febbdc63e49444d149f75d316219a3b5a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 2,659$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.38 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…ddd3backed Yes | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 43c | 1,185$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.69 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed No | 46c | 999.85$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.93 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0f…3f10backed Yes | 58c | 970.14$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.46 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 42c | 826.41$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.31 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked No | 29c | 788.3$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.38 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 57c | 762.95$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.94 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b1…e816backed Yes | 60c | 668.56$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeff…42fbbacked No | 60c | 553.44$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.44 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 54c | 535.75$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.44 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 30c | 498.72$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.11 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 43c | 426$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.82 | 149 | 75.8%113 W · 36 L | +26.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 43c | 287.03$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.42 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a1…7833backed No | 78c | 256.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed No | 15c | 228.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 43c | 212.86$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.53 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 43c | 207.07$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.71 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…36dfbacked Yes | 53c | 199.81$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.23 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 43c | 194$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.58 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda83…be6abacked Yes | 56c | 179.64$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f6…4892backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 55c | 144.53$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.05 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 57c | 138$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.66 | 150 | 30.7%46 W · 104 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 43c | 123.65$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc506…4c2dbacked No | 43c | 115.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…9732backed Yes | 57c | 114.04$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 57c | 105.04$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.17 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 39c | 101.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 152 | 33.6%51 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 56c | 99.97$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.49 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 44c | 98.72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Yes | 54c | 90.39$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Yes | 54c | 89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ce…6da3backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Yes | 55c | 71.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 54c | 68.92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x616d…bb9bbacked Yes | 61c | 58.33$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02dc…a212backed No | 62c | 58.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fd…b550backed Yes | 57c | 57.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked No | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 317 | 46.1%146 W · 171 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d32…fe22backed Yes | 25c | 48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Yes | 53c | 47.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ab…2da7backed No | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…3ae4backed Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 44c | 43.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 58c | 41.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes | 29c | 40.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed No | 42c | 37.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6936…8f48backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abb…31a7backed Yes | 57c | 33.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 55c | 25.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…9bdebacked No | 53c | 24.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1f…7b4bbacked No | 43c | 24.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd2…3fa2backed No | 54c | 22.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 60c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 54c | 20.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2394…9312backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 57c | 19.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 61c | 19.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.