Premier League · resolved market
Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b8c2bf826c2edbf93e7d87b7c88610090c48b75d9c578f2077be385f280c914
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 31c | 10,743$3,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,330.47 | 136 | 30.9%42 W · 94 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 5,933$4,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.9 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 73c | 4,386$3,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.97 | 914 | 35.3%323 W · 591 L | -15.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 9c | 4,097$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.62 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 69c | 1,444$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.79 | 598 | 47.7%285 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…895dbacked Under | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.06 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -4.2wins | -0.38per pick | 56cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 68c | 841.04$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.13 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.35per pick | 56cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 24c | 623.42$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.57 | 593 | 32.9%195 W · 398 L | -30.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 70c | 608.83$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.94 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9e…3cb9backed Under | 60c | 418.04$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Over | 33c | 388.38$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.93 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 69c | 380.43$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.93 | 182 | 38.5%70 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +132.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 24c | 306.06$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.18 | 150 | 30.7%46 W · 104 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 560 | 51.4%288 W · 272 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Under | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 223 | 56.5%126 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 33c | 293.79$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.95 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 69c | 287.98$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.27 | 810 | 53.6%434 W · 376 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Under | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Under | 20c | 249.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.23 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 69c | 237.63$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.67 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc061…2336backed Under | 76c | 237.53$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.53 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 73c | 235.47$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.4 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12df…090dbacked Over | 34c | 215.09$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.13 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 68c | 214$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.48 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d32…fe22backed Over | 48c | 208.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 69c | 189.5$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.67 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 79c | 181.42$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Over | 29c | 175.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 15c | 166.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 77c | 156.06$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 69c | 155.82$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 136 | 33.8%46 W · 90 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 21c | 145.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.34 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 33c | 133.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 105 | 34.3%36 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 33c | 133$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 68c | 124.19$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.18 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 21c | 123.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 71c | 120.41$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 724 | 42.7%309 W · 415 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 70c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.59 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Under | 24c | 116.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +170.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 67c | 105$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 337 | 51.3%173 W · 164 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…f90ebacked Under | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf93…8458backed Under | 74c | 96.81$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 26c | 83.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 32c | 82.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…10c0backed Under | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb1…6eb0backed Under | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7787…8ac5backed Under | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…064bbacked Under | 58c | 70.9$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 16c | 70.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 30c | 69.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 1,244 | 49.4%615 W · 629 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 17 | 94.1%16 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 73cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 69c | 55.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 220 | 57.7%127 W · 93 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 18c | 55.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Over | 29c | 55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 69c | 54.03$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 562 | 41.5%233 W · 329 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…aed7backed Under | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 27 | 88.9%24 W · 3 L | +5.3wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 73c | 52.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 67c | 47.3$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…db2ebacked Under | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf0…72cebacked Over | 31c | 42.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Under | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under | 69c | 37.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 184 | 63%116 W · 68 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 69c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 1,636 | 52.9%866 W · 770 L | +32.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 69c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Under | 65c | 34.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…5cfdbacked Under | 68c | 30.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a1…5645backed Under | 58c | 30.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 64c | 29.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 70c | 29.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x145d…8a74backed Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Under | 70c | 28.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 72cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 37c | 28.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe18…231bbacked Under | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 74c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 69c | 22.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 288 | 59.7%172 W · 116 L | +19.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…e9c3backed Under | 69c | 22.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 53 | 73.6%39 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…4406backed Under | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Under | 70c | 20.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2c…d911backed Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Over | 71c | 15.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 70c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae3…93c3backed Under | 69c | 14.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.