TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,315
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,622

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,315 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over31c10,743$3,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,330.4713630.9%42 W · 94 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under70c5,933$4,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,785.96,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under73c4,386$3,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.9791435.3%323 W · 591 L-15.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over9c4,097$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.624,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over34c2,941$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005442.6%23 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under69c1,444$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.7959847.7%285 W · 313 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf032…895dbacked Under80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.061118.2%2 W · 9 L-4.2wins-0.38per pick56cpaid-76.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under68c841.04$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.131190.9%10 W · 1 L+3.9wins+0.35per pick56cpaid+71.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over24c623.42$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.5759332.9%195 W · 398 L-30.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under70c608.83$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.9419239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d9e…3cb9backed Under60c418.04$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+37.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Over33c388.38$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.934731.9%15 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under69c380.43$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.9318238.5%70 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+132.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over24c306.06$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1815030.7%46 W · 104 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9056051.4%288 W · 272 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Under68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1222356.5%126 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over33c293.79$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.952147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under69c287.98$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.2781053.6%434 W · 376 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Under70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.715271.2%37 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under20c249.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.231650%8 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+99.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under69c237.63$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6769851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc061…2336backed Under76c237.53$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.532050%10 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under73c235.47$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.474644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12df…090dbacked Over34c215.09$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.131533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under68c214$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.483644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d32…fe22backed Over48c208.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+26.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under69c189.5$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6714463.2%91 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Over79c181.42$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1442580%20 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Over29c175.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508949.4%44 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Over15c166.66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255334%18 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under77c156.06$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.141,93842.5%823 W · 1,115 L-41.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under69c155.82$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.313633.8%46 W · 90 L-9.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Under21c145.08$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.344411.4%5 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over33c133.85$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0110534.3%36 W · 69 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over33c133$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8927752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under68c124.19$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.185457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over21c123.18$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9936545.2%165 W · 200 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under71c120.41$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1472442.7%309 W · 415 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under70c120$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5941850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed Under24c116.18$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+170.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under67c105$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6533751.3%173 W · 164 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4630…f90ebacked Under66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked Under57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf93…8458backed Under74c96.81$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over26c83.85$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.873633.3%12 W · 24 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over32c82.53$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.551,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514431.9%46 W · 98 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e79…10c0backed Under67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.631637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfdb1…6eb0backed Under67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.63757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7787…8ac5backed Under68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.531070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe762…064bbacked Under58c70.9$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.012254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over16c70.85$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3222645.6%103 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over30c69.82$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.951,24449.4%615 W · 629 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020336.9%75 W · 128 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under68c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.215444.8%69 W · 85 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202528%7 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under71c56.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.341794.1%16 W · 1 L+3.7wins+0.22per pick73cpaid+29.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under69c55.7$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.322057.7%127 W · 93 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over18c55.61$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.01922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-49.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84c3…35d4backed Over29c55$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9530%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under69c54.03$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5456241.5%233 W · 329 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7a6…aed7backed Under76c52.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.632788.9%24 W · 3 L+5.3wins+0.20per pick69cpaid+28.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under73c52.34$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2396645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under67c47.3$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6112650%63 W · 63 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc5f…db2ebacked Under69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.481376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Over31c42.25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.21241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Under66c37.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8817755.9%99 W · 78 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under69c37.57$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6918463%116 W · 68 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under69c37$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.471,63652.9%866 W · 770 L+32.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under69c36$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1610257.8%59 W · 43 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed Under65c34.22$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.985145.1%23 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9808…5cfdbacked Under68c30.88$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.882080%16 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29a1…5645backed Under58c30.38$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.811154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Under64c29.69$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6910136.6%37 W · 64 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.419265.2%60 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under70c29.39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9515353.6%82 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x145d…8a74backed Under69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.99862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2110…d4fbbacked Under70c28.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.641090%9 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick72cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under37c28.03$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.521266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe18…231bbacked Under74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under74c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5213250.8%67 W · 65 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under69c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.755761.4%35 W · 22 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under69c22.75$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0528859.7%172 W · 116 L+19.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x18d2…e9c3backed Under69c22.51$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75373.6%39 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a84…4406backed Under69c21.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.741154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Under70c20.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.357060%42 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f2c…d911backed Under73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.455100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under70c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.120440.7%83 W · 121 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a97…90b1backed Over71c15.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under70c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5724557.6%141 W · 104 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ae3…93c3backed Under69c14.83$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.622065%13 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick65cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.